贫困代际传递、人力资本与毕业生就业流动——基于Box-Cox的分位数回归修正模型分析

江西财经大学学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (3): 38-51.

贫困代际传递、人力资本与毕业生就业流动——基于Box-Cox的分位数回归修正模型分析

蒋翠珍¹, 罗传勇¹, 余来文²

1.华东交通大学经济管理学院,江西南昌 330013;
2.江西师范大学商学院,江西南昌 330022

收稿日期:2019-12-15 修回日期:2020-02-23 出版日期:2020-05-25 发布日期:2020-12-14
通讯作者: 余来文,江西师范大学教授,博士生导师,主要从事人力资源管理研究,联系方式elerwen@163.com。
作者简介:蒋翠珍,华东交通大学副教授,主要从事社会保障研究;罗传勇,华东交通大学研究助理,主要从事劳动经济学研究。
基金资助:
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金“新型工业化背景下我国高等教育学科结构优化路径研究”(16YJC880087);江西省教育规划2017年重点项目“高校毕业生流出对江西省人力资本水平的影响研究”(17ZD027);江西省科技厅科技计划项目基础研究计划“高校毕业生流出对江西省创新能力的影响:空间特征、冲击幅度与提升策略”(20181BAA208005)

Intergenerational Transmission of Poverty, Human Capital and Employment Mobility of Graduates: An Analysis Based on Box-Cox Quantile Regression Correction Model

JIANG Cui-zhen¹, LUO Chuan-yong¹, YU Lai-wen²

1. East China Jiaotong University,Nanchang 330013;
2. Jiangxi Normal University,Nanchang 330022,China

Received:2019-12-15 Revised:2020-02-23 Online:2020-05-25 Published:2020-12-14

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 贫困代际传递往往加剧了持续性贫困、低社会流动性,成为当今扶贫攻坚任务中的强大阻力。基于Box-Cox分位数回归修正模型,分析了贫困代际传递对高校毕业生就业流动的影响以及人力资本对贫困代际传递空间效应的调节作用。研究结果表明,贫困代际传递抑制了毕业生远距离就业流动倾向,但对于可接受近距离范围内的就业地,又刺激了贫困毕业生选择离乡就业;而高水平人力资本有助于毕业生远距离就业流动。调节效应系数呈现“先降后增”态势,这进一步证明,人力资本的积累有效削减了代际贫困对中远距离就业流动的阻碍作用。因此,建立完善脱贫长效机制、学业激励机制、就业辅导机制、贫困毕业生就业补助金制度以及公共就业信息系统,进一步降低就业成本和提升人力资本,从根源上阻断贫困代际传递,是今后扶贫制度设计的重点目标。

关键词: 代际贫困, 人力资本, 劳动力流动, 扶贫

Abstract: The intergenerational transmission of poverty often aggravates the persistent poverty and low social mobility,which has become a strong resistance in today’s poverty alleviation task.Based on the Box-Cox quantile regression correction model,this paper makes an analysis of the impact of intergenerational poverty transmission on the employment flow of college graduates and the moderating effect of human capital on the spatial effect of intergenerational transmission of poverty.The empirical results show that the intergenerational transmission of poverty suppresses the tendency of graduates’long-distance employment mobility,but the places that accept short-distance employment also stimulate poor graduates to choose to leave their hometowns for employment;and the high-level human capital is conducive to the long-distance employment mobility of the graduates.The adjustment effect coefficient shows a trend of “first decrease then increase”,which further proves that the accumulation of human capital can effectively reduce the barrier of intergenerational poverty to the long-distance employment flow.Therefore,it should be the focus in the design of the future poverty alleviation system to establish and improve the long-term mechanism for poverty alleviation,the mechanism of academic incentive,the mechanism of employment guidance,the employment subsidy system for poor graduates and the public employment information system,so as to reduce the cost of employment,improve human capital,and block the intergenerational transmission of poverty from the root.

Key words: intergenerational poverty, human capital, labor mobility, poverty relief

中图分类号:

F241

蒋翠珍, 罗传勇, 余来文. 贫困代际传递、人力资本与毕业生就业流动——基于Box-Cox的分位数回归修正模型分析[J]. 江西财经大学学报, 2020, 0(3): 38-51.

JIANG Cui-zhen, LUO Chuan-yong, YU Lai-wen. Intergenerational Transmission of Poverty, Human Capital and Employment Mobility of Graduates: An Analysis Based on Box-Cox Quantile Regression Correction Model[J]. Journal of Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, 2020, 0(3): 38-51.

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