中国对“一带一路”沿线国家的直接投资效率与潜力研究——兼论投资区位的选择

江西财经大学学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (3): 25-37.

中国对“一带一路”沿线国家的直接投资效率与潜力研究——兼论投资区位的选择

吴瀚然¹, 胡庆江²

1.北京大学经济学院,北京 100871;
2.北京航空航天大学人文社会科学学院,北京 100191

收稿日期:2019-11-12 修回日期:2020-03-10 出版日期:2020-05-25 发布日期:2020-12-14
通讯作者: 吴瀚然,北京大学博士研究生,主要从事产业经济与环境经济研究,联系方式wuhanran@pku.edu.cn。
作者简介:胡庆江,北京航空航天大学副教授,博士,主要从事国际经济与贸易研究。

A Study on the Efficiency and Potential of China's OFDI in Countries along the Belt and Road Route: Also on the Choice of Investment Location

WU Han-ran¹, HU Qing-jiang²

1. Peking University,Beijing 100871;
2. Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Beijing 100191,China

Received:2019-11-12 Revised:2020-03-10 Online:2020-05-25 Published:2020-12-14

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 基于发展中国家对外投资理论,在对投资效率、投资潜力和投资区位选择的文献进行梳理的基础上,分别构建随机前沿投资引力模型和投资潜力主成分综合评价体系,对“一带一路”沿线55个国家的投资效率和投资潜力进行了测算与评价,通过两者的组合将“一带一路”沿线国家划分为“效率高潜力高、效率高潜力低、潜力高效率低、潜力低效率低”四种类型,在组合分析的基础上得出应优先投资“效率高潜力高”国家、“效率低潜力高”国家的结论。需要从准确定位投资区位与投资类型、系统加强投资风险控制两方面对优化我国对外直接投资分布结构、引导我国资本更好地“走出去”提出政策建议。

关键词: 对外直接投资, "一带一路"倡议, 投资效率, 投资潜力, 区位选择

Abstract: Based on the theory of foreign investment in developing countries and the literature review of investment efficiency,investment potential and investment location choice,this paper constructs a stochastic frontier investment gravity model and a comprehensive evaluation system of principal components of the investment potential respectively to measure and evaluate the investment efficiency and investment potential of 55 countries along the Belt and Road route.Through the combination of the efficiency and the potential,these countries are divided into four types,such as“high efficiency and high potential”,“high efficiency and low potential”,“low efficiency and high potential”and“low efficiency and low potential”.On the basis of the combined analysis,this paper draws a conclusion that investment priority should be given to the HEHP countries and LEHP countries.It is necessary to optimize the distribution structure of China’s OFDI and guide China’s capital to have a better“going out”from the two aspects of accurately choosing investment locations and investment types and systematically strengthening the investment risk control.

Key words: outward foreign direct investment, the Belt and Road Initiative, investment efficiency, investment potential, location choice

中图分类号:

F114.4

吴瀚然, 胡庆江. 中国对“一带一路”沿线国家的直接投资效率与潜力研究——兼论投资区位的选择[J]. 江西财经大学学报, 2020, 0(3): 25-37.

WU Han-ran, HU Qing-jiang. A Study on the Efficiency and Potential of China's OFDI in Countries along the Belt and Road Route: Also on the Choice of Investment Location[J]. Journal of Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, 2020, 0(3): 25-37.

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