当代财经 ›› 2022, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (6): 111-122.

• 产业与贸易 • 上一篇    下一篇

“一带一路”数字经济对中国对外直接投资区位选择的影响研究

张明哲   

  1. 北京大学 经济学院,北京 100871
  • 收稿日期:2022-03-09 修回日期:2022-05-19 出版日期:2022-06-15 发布日期:2022-09-09
  • 作者简介:张明哲,北京大学博士研究生,主要从事“一带一路”和数字经济研究,联系方式zhangmz08@163.com。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金“一带一路”建设重大研究专项项目(18VDL007)

A Study of the Impact of Belt and Road Digital Economy on the Locational Choice of China’s Outward Foreign Direct Investment

ZHANG Ming-zhe   

  1. Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
  • Received:2022-03-09 Revised:2022-05-19 Online:2022-06-15 Published:2022-09-09

摘要: 基于构建的“一带一路”数字经济发展水平指标,考察“一带一路”数字经济发展对中国对外直接投资区位选择的影响,同时对其影响的异质性和作用机制进行探讨。研究发现:数字经济已成为重要的东道国区位因素,中国对“一带一路”沿线国家投资的区位选择整体上更倾向于数字经济发展程度高的东道国。在区域异质性上,东南亚和西亚中东地区数字经济发展对中国投资区位选择产生正向影响,即促进了中国对该区域的直接投资;中亚和蒙俄地区的影响并不显著;南亚、中东欧地区产生抑制作用。在作用机制上,“一带一路”沿线数字经济发展可以通过提升东道国制度质量和提升东道国人力资本等路径正向影响中国对外直接投资的区位选择行为。在数字经济背景下,研究结论对中国通过“一带一路”投资区位选择实现高质量共建“一带一路”具有重要现实意义。

关键词: “一带一路”, 数字经济, 中国对外直接投资, 区位选择

Abstract: Based on the constructed index of the development of digital economy along the Belt and Road route, this paper investigates the influence of digital economy development along the Belt and Road route on the locational choice of China’s outward foreign direct investment (OFDI), and at the same time discusses the heterogeneity and mechanism of the impact. The findings show that the digital economy has become an important locational factor of the host countries, and the locational choice of China’s OFDI prefers the host countries along the Belt and Road route with higher levels of digital economy development on the whole. In terms of regional heterogeneity, the developments of digital economy in Southeast Asia, West Asia and the Middle East have positive impacts on the locational choice of China’s OFDI, namely, it can promote China’s direct investment to this region; while the impact on the developments of digital economy in Central Asia, Mongolia and Russia are not significant, and it has produced inhibiting effects in South Asia and Central and Eastern Europe. In terms of the mechanism, the development of digital economy along the Belt and Road route can positively influence the locational choice behavior of China’s OFDI by improving the institutional quality and enhancing the human capital of the host countries. In the context of digital economy, these research conclusions are of great practical significance for China to realize high-quality joint construction of the Belt and Road through the locational choice of OFDI.

Key words: the Belt and Road initiative, digital economy, China’s outward foreign direct investment;, locational choice

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