当代财经 ›› 2018, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (04): 136-.

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D&O保险与分析师盈余预测质量

秦帅1,吴锡皓2   

  1. (1. 中山大学 现代会计与财务研究中心/管理学院,广东 广州 510275;2. 海南大学 经济与管理学院,海南 海口 570228)
  • 收稿日期:2017-12-14 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:秦 帅,中山大学博士研究生,主要从事会计理论、公司治理研究;吴锡皓,海南大学副教授,博士,主要从事会计稳健性研究,通讯作者联系方式xihao_wu@aliyun.com。

Directors and Officers Insurance and Quality of Analysts’ Earnings Forecasts

QIN Shuai1, WU Xi-hao2   

  1. (1. Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275; 2. Hainan University, Haikou 570228, China)
  • Received:2017-12-14 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 如何约束管理者的自利行为以提高会计信息透明度并改善分析师盈余预测质量,是资本市场的重要课题。首先考察企业引入D&O保险如何影响分析师的盈余预测质量,然后在此基础上探索高管权力对二者关系的调节效应。研究表明,与没有购买D&O保险的公司相比,分析师在对已购买D&O保险的公司进行预测时,预测误差和预测分歧度更小。此外,高管权力过大会削弱D&O保险对分析师盈余预测质量的提升作用,但这种削弱关系只会显著影响预测分歧度,对预测误差的影响则不显著。

关键词: D&O保险,分析师盈余预测质量,信息透明度,高管权力

Abstract: How to restrain the self-interests of the managers so as to improve the transparency of accounting information and then improve the quality of analysts’ earnings forecast is an important topic in the capital market. This paper first investigates how D&O insurance affects the quality of analysts’ earnings forecasts, and then explores the moderating effect of executive power on the relationship between the two parties. The result shows that, compared with the companies that purchase no D&O insurances, the forecast errors and forecast divergence are less in the forecast made by the analysts on the companies that purchase D&O insurances. In addition, the excessive executive power will weaken the positive correlation between D&O insurances and the quality of analysts’ earnings forecasts. However, this weakened relationship can only affect the forecast divergence significantly, but no significant impact on the forecast error.

Key words: directors and officers insurance; quality of analysts’ earnings forecasts; information transparency; executives power