当代财经 ›› 2017, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (06): 267-.

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经济政策不确定性会影响货币政策有效性吗——基于信贷渠道的视角

段梅   

  1. (江西财经大学 金融学院,江西 南昌 330013)
  • 收稿日期:2017-03-07 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:段 梅,江西财经大学讲师,博士,主要从事货币理论与政策研究,联系方式jxufe_dm@126.com。

Can Economic Policy Uncertainty Influence the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy? From the Perspective of Credit Channel

DUAN Mei   

  1. (Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China)
  • Received:2017-03-07 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 基于Baker等编制的中国经济政策不确定性指数,实证检验了经济政策不确定性、货币政策与企业信贷配置之间的关系,进而从微观层面考察了经济政策不确定性对我国货币政策有效性的影响。研究发现:(1)经济政策不确定性上升会抑制企业的新增借款,尤其是导致新增短期借款减少;(2)较高的经济政策不确定性导致货币政策对企业信贷融资的调节作用下降,降低了我国货币政策的有效性。此外,经济政策不确定性对国企和非国企的影响也存在显著差异。

关键词: 经济政策不确定性,货币政策,信贷配置,所有权性质

Abstract: Based on the economic policy uncertainty index of China compiled by Baker et., this paper empirically examines the relationship between economic policy uncertainty, monetary policy and enterprise credit allocation. It further explores the impact of economic policy uncertainty on the effectiveness of China’s monetary policy from the angle of the micro-level. The findings show that: (1) the rising of economic policy uncertainty would inhibit enterprises’ newly increased loans, especially leading to the decrease of the newly increased short-term loans; (2) higher economic policy uncertainty would result in the decrease of the regulating effect of monetary policy on the enterprises’ credit financing, in turn the effectiveness of China’s monetary policy is lowered. Furthermore, the effects of economic policy uncertainty on state-owned enterprises and non state-owned enterprises are quite different.

Key words: economic policy uncertainty; monetary policy; enterprise loans; credit allocation;