关键词: 农民工,市民化意愿,Ordered Logistic模型

Abstract: Based on the survey data of 3375 farmer workers in 32 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions, this paper examines the group characteristics of the three groups, i.e. the new generation of farmer workers, the farmer workers with strong desire to be citizens, and the intermediate group holding indifferent or knowing-nothing attitudes. By establishing the Logistic regression model, it conducts an empirical analysis of the different factors influencing their will of citizenization. The results show that among the various factors, such factors as the individual characteristics of farmer workers, the income and consumption levels, social living conditions, etc. have varying degrees of influence on the worker’ will. Based on this it puts forward the following policy recommendations: paying close attention to the generational differences of the farmer workers’ will of citizenization, especially focusing on the social insurance and other interest demands of the new generation of farmer workers; promoting the urban-rural coordinated development and eliminating the institutional obstacles, so as to form the systems and mechanisms favoring the mutual promotion and mutual development between urban and rural areas; increasing the financial investment in education at high school level or above in rural areas, and effectively improving the work skills and experience reserves of farmer workers; and improving the urban public employment service system, to guide and encourage farmer workers to start their own businesses, and to improve employment by creating their own business.

Key words: farmer workers; will of citizenization; Ordered Logistic Model