关键词: 区域经济增长,空间溢出效应,真实市场潜能

Abstract: Through building the new economic geography structural equation determined by the national income, this paper conducts a measurement of the spatial spillover effect of China’s regional economic growth with the index of the “real market potential”. The results indicate that, during 2002-2011, when the market potential rate of two stages ever increased by 1%, it would lead to the increase of the national income ratio of the two stages by 0.671%, which is significantly higher than the findings of the previous domestic similar researches. After the insufficient variability of the variables caused by the problem of “generated regressor” being properly handled, this value is still statistically significant for being under the level of 5%. The regression also shows that, with the improvement of traffic conditions and decreasing transportation costs, the effect of bordering (neighboring provinces) factors promoting the real market potential of China’s different regions is enhanced from year to year, and that trade links between the regions around the country are further strengthened. It is suggested to continuously improve the conditions of transportation facilities, such as railways and highways, continue to reduce inter-regional trade barriers, accelerate regional integration, so as to lay a solid foundation for maintaining and even quickening the speed of regional economic growth.

Key words: regional economic growth; spatial spillover effect; real market potential