当代财经 ›› 2018, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (11): 60-.

• • 上一篇    

习惯形成、跨期替代与农村居民消费——基于动态面板数据模型的实证分析

封福育,饶晓辉   

  1. (江西财经大学 经济学院,江西 南昌 330013)
  • 收稿日期:2018-04-03 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:封福育,江西财经大学副教授,经济学博士,主要从事应用计量经济学研究,通讯作者联系方式fengfy9488@163.com;饶晓辉,江西财经大学教授,经济学博士,主要从事宏观经济学研究。

Habit Formation, Intertemporal Substitution and Rural Residents’ Consumption: An Empirical Analysis Based on Dynamic Panel Data Model

FENG Fu-yu, RAO Xiao-hui   

  1. (Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China)
  • Received:2018-04-03 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 基于消费习惯形成理论,利用我国2003—2015年的省级数据建立动态面板数据模型,运用广义矩方法实证研究农村居民消费的习惯形成和跨期替代。实证分析结果表明:(1)农村居民消费行为具有显著的内部习惯形成特征,农村居民的消费支出受其上一期消费支出水平影响。(2)农村居民消费具有显著的示范效应,个人消费行为会受到周围群体消费水平的影响。(3)农村居民消费的跨期替代弹性相对偏高。(4)跨期替代弹性与相对风险规避系数之积小于1,这表明消费效用函数的时间可分离性假设不成立,即消费者的效用函数在时间上是不可分的。

关键词: 习惯形成,跨期替代,消费

Abstract: Based on the theory of habit formation, this paper firstly establishes a dynamic panel data model by making use of the provincial data of China from 2003 to 2015, then it conducts an empirical study of the habit formation and intertemporal substitution of rural residents’ consumption with the generalized method of moment. The findings show that firstly, the consumption behavior of rural residents has significant characteristics of internal habit formation, and their consumption expenditure is affected by the levels of previous consumption expenditure; secondly, the consumption of rural residents has a significant demonstration effect, the individual consumption behavior will be affected by the level of consumption of surrounding residents; thirdly, the elasticity of intertemporal substitution of rural residents is relatively higher; fourthly, the product of the elasticity of intertemporal substitution and the relative risk aversion parameter is less than 1, which indicates that the assumption of time separability of consumption utility function is disconfirmed, namely, the utility function of the consumers is not separable in time.

Key words: habit formation; intertemporal substitution; consumption