当代财经 ›› 2026, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (4): 61-73.

• 理论经济·经济增长专题 • 上一篇    下一篇

社保征缴力度、全要素生产率与经济增长

杨悦斐1, 崔小勇1, 孙琳琳2, 蒋云赟1   

  1. 1.北京大学 经济学院,北京 100871;
    2.北京航空航天大学 人文与社会科学高等研究院,北京 100191
  • 收稿日期:2025-12-13 修回日期:2026-01-22 发布日期:2026-04-24
  • 作者简介:杨悦斐,北京大学博士研究生,主要从事财税理论与政策研究;崔小勇,北京大学长聘副教授,博士生导师,经济学博士,主要从事宏观经济学与公共经济学研究;孙琳琳(通信作者),北京航空航天大学教授,博士生导师,经济学博士,主要从事宏观经济学研究,联系方式vickysunlin@126.com;蒋云赟,北京大学教授,博士生导师,经济学博士,主要从事养老保险改革研究。
  • 基金资助:
    教育部人文社会科学基金项目“地方性政策的微观效应与宏观均衡影响:嵌入区域生产网络视角的东北振兴计划效应评估”(25YJA790057); 国家自然科学基金项目“基于医疗支出内生多阶段世代交叠模型的我国城镇职工基本医疗保险基金收支的模拟研究”(72174002)

Social Insurance Contribution Enforcement, Total Factor Productivity and Economic Growth

Yang Yue-fei1, Cui Xiao-yong1, Sun Lin-lin2, Jiang Yun-yun1   

  1. 1. Peking University, Beijing 100871;
    2. Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China
  • Received:2025-12-13 Revised:2026-01-22 Published:2026-04-24

摘要: 2011年《中华人民共和国社会保险法》的实施,首次以法律形式明确要求所有企业为员工缴纳社会保险费,这一制度改革显著提高了企业的社保征缴力度。既有研究主要聚焦该改革在企业层面的影响,而忽视了其对宏观经济层面的传导效应。基于2007—2015年全国税收调查数据,并将2011年《中华人民共和国社会保险法》的实施作为外生政策冲击构建准自然实验的研究表明,该法律的出台使企业全要素生产率提高了16.8%。机制分析显示,该法律主要通过激励企业增加研发投入、加剧行业外部竞争压力以及强化市场优胜劣汰机制等渠道,推动企业全要素生产率提升。进一步分析表明,该法律的实施优化了地区行业层面的要素配置效率,同时促进了加总全要素生产率的增长。上述结论表明,《中华人民共和国社会保险法》作为规范社保征管的核心制度,未抑制企业发展,并通过提升企业研发投入、优化市场竞争环境,在微观层面提高了企业生产率,在宏观层面改善了要素配置效率,进而推动整体全要素生产率的提升。

关键词: 社会保险法, 全要素生产率, 要素配置, 经济增长

Abstract: The implementation of the Social Insurance Law of the Peoples Republic of China in 2011, for the first time, explicitly required all enterprises to pay social insurance premiums for their employees in a legal form, significantly enhancing the enforcement of social insurance contributions by enterprises. The existing studies primarily focus on the impact of this reform at the firm level, while overlooking its transmission effects on the macroeconomic level. Based on the national tax survey data from 2007 to 2015, and using the implementation of the law in 2011 as an exogenous policy shock, this paper constructs a quasi-natural experiment study. The findings show that the enactment of this law has led to a 16.8% increase in total factor productivity among enterprises. The mechanism analysis reveals that the law primarily enhances TFP by incentivizing increased R&D investment, intensifying external competitive pressure within industries, and reinforcing the market-driven mechanism of survival of the fittest. Further analysis indicates that the law’s implementation not only optimizes factor allocation efficiency at the regional and industry levels but also fosters growth in macro-level TFP. The above conclusion indicates that the law, as the core system for regulating social security management, has not suppressed the development of enterprises, and has improved their productivity at the micro level and factor allocation efficiency at the macro level by enhancing their innovation capabilities and optimizing the market competition environment, thereby promoting the overall improvement of total factor productivity.

Key words: Social Insurance Law, total factor productivity, factor allocation, economic growth

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