当代财经 ›› 2026, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (4): 18-32.

• 当代国势学 • 上一篇    下一篇

广义全球资金流量表编制方法研究

马克卫, 苏毅洁   

  1. 山西财经大学 统计学院,山西 太原 030006
  • 收稿日期:2025-11-14 修回日期:2026-02-15 发布日期:2026-04-24
  • 作者简介:马克卫(通信作者),山西财经大学教授,经济学博士,主要从事国民经济核算与宏观经济统计分析研究,联系方式makw@sxufe.edu.cn;苏毅洁,山西财经大学博士研究生,主要从事经济统计分析研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重大项目“全球资金流量核算与构建新发展格局研究”(23&ZD126)

Research on the Compilation Method of Generalized Global Capital Flow Statement

Ma Ke-wei, Su Yi-jie   

  1. Shanxi University of Finance and Economics, Taiyuan 030006, China
  • Received:2025-11-14 Revised:2026-02-15 Published:2026-04-24

摘要: 全面考察全球国家间资金流转状况对于分析中国国际资金竞争力,加速构建新发展格局具有重要意义。在国民经济核算体系(SNA)理论框架下,设计并编制涵盖国家间货物和服务往来、分配流量、资本金融交易流量在内的广义全球资金流量表,同时刻画国与国之间的资金往来整体情况。研究发现,中国在全球资金流动中居于关键地位,其凭借商品贸易的强劲表现已成为重要的资金往来参与主体。中国的服务贸易以建筑服务等传统领域为主,高附加值服务贸易板块仍有提升空间。在全球收入分配格局中,中国所占份额尚未与经济体量相匹配,存在较大的增长潜力。在资本金融流动方面,中国呈现净流出状态,双向流动规模均有较大的扩展空间。未来,中国不仅要通过开拓新兴市场、发展新业态来增强全球贸易网络的韧性,还应聚焦服务贸易的关键领域,提升数字与知识密集型服务贸易竞争力;在金融领域则要着力优化资本结构,完善全口径跨境资本流动监测预警机制,以提升资本流动的稳健性与平衡性。

关键词: 全球资金流量, 国际收支核算, 新国势学, 真实链位, 全球资金竞争力

Abstract: A comprehensive analysis of the global inter-country capital flow situation is of great significance for evaluating China’s international capital competitiveness and accelerating the construction of a new development paradigm. Under the theoretical framework of the System of National Accounts (SNA), this paper designs and compiles a broad global capital flow statement that covers the exchange of goods and services between countries, distribution flows, and capital and financial transaction flows, depicting the overall landscape of capital exchanges between countries. The study finds that China occupies a pivotal position in global capital flows and has emerged as a major participant in cross-border capital interactions by virtue of its robust performance in merchandise trade. China’s service trade is mainly focused on traditional fields such as construction services, and there is still room for improvement in the high value-added service trade sector. In the global income distribution pattern, China’s share has not yet matched its economic size, indicating significant growth potential. In terms of capital and financial flows, China has shown a net outflow state, with significant room for expansion in both directions. In the future, China should not only enhance the resilience of the global trade network by exploring emerging markets and developing new business models, but also focus on key areas of service trade and enhance the competitiveness of digital and knowledge intensive service trade. In the financial sector, efforts should be focused on optimizing capital structure and improving the cross-border capital flow monitoring and early warning mechanism, in order to enhance the stability and balance of capital flows.

Key words: global capital flows, balance of payments accounting, new national situation studies, actual position in the chain, global capital competitiveness

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