当代财经 ›› 2026, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (3): 28-42.

• 公共经济与管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

“人工智能+”的财政减压效应研究

陈少炼, 韩凤芹   

  1. 中国财政科学研究院,北京 100142
  • 收稿日期:2025-10-15 修回日期:2025-12-19 出版日期:2026-03-15 发布日期:2026-03-26
  • 通讯作者: 陈少炼,中国财政科学研究院博士研究生,主要从事财政科技政策研究,联系方式cslshaolian@163.com。
  • 作者简介:韩凤芹,中国财政科学研究院研究员,博士生导师,经济学博士,主要从事财政科技政策研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目“科技成果类国有资产管理改革与价值实现机制研究”(72541017); 中国工程院科技战略咨询项目学部重大项目“新质生产力与金融协同创新机制研究”(2025-XBZD-16)

Research on the Fiscal Stress-Alleviating Effect of“Artificial Intelligence +”

Chen Shao-lian, Han Feng-qin   

  1. Chinese Academy of Fiscal Sciences, Beijing 100142, China
  • Received:2025-10-15 Revised:2025-12-19 Online:2026-03-15 Published:2026-03-26

摘要: 推动人工智能与经济社会深度融合,对释放其财政经济效能、缓解地方政府财政压力具有重要意义。基于2010—2023年我国280个城市的面板数据,构建多期双重差分模型,实证检验“人工智能+”行动对地方财政压力的影响及作用机制。研究发现,以国家新一代人工智能创新发展试验区为政策载体的“人工智能+”行动,显著缓解了地方财政压力。机制分析表明,该政策通过激发市场主体创业活力以增加税收收入,并通过优化政府资金配置以提高财政支出效率,从而缓解财政压力。异质性分析发现,缓解效应在财政自给率较低、产业集聚度较高的地区更为突出;同时,“人工智能+”行动也有助于改善地区间初始数字基础设施政策支持的不均衡状况。因此,应进一步推动“人工智能+”行动,释放“人工智能+”的财政经济效应;促进有效市场与有为政府更好结合,疏通财政压力缓解的传导机制;实施区域差异化“人工智能+”发展战略,精准缓解地方财政压力。

关键词: “人工智能+”, 财政压力, 创业活力, 财政支出效率

Abstract: Promoting the deep integration of artificial intelligence with the economy and society is of great significance for unleashing its fiscal and economic efficiency and alleviating the financial pressure on local governments. Based on the panel data from 280 cities in China from 2010 to 2023, this paper constructs a multi-period difference-in-differences model to empirically examine the impact of the“AI+”initiative on local fiscal pressure and its underlying mechanism. The findings show that the“AI+”initiative, with the national new-generation AI innovation and development pilot zones as its policy vehicle, has significantly alleviated local fiscal pressures. The mechanism analysis shows that the policy boosts entrepreneurial vitality among market entities, thereby increasing tax revenue, and optimizes the allocation of government funds to improve fiscal expenditure efficiency, thus relieving fiscal pressure. The heterogeneity analysis reveals that the alleviating effect is more pronounced in regions with lower fiscal self-sufficiency rates and higher industrial agglomeration. Additionally, the “AI+”initiative helps mitigate regional disparities in initial digital infrastructure and policy support. Therefore, efforts should be made to further advance the“AI+”initiative, unleashing its fiscal and economic effects; promote better integration of an effective market and a proactive government, facilitating the transmission mechanism for alleviating fiscal pressures; and implement a differentiated “AI+”development strategy by region to precisely mitigate local fiscal burdens.

Key words: “AI+”, fiscal pressure, entrepreneurial vitality, fiscal expenditure efficiency

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