当代财经 ›› 2021, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (9): 53-65.

• 现代金融 • 上一篇    下一篇

数字普惠金融与实体经济协同发展的地区差异及效应研究

吕江林1, 2, 叶金生1, 张斓弘2   

  1. 1.江西财经大学 金融学院,江西 南昌 330013;
    2.上海财经大学浙江学院 金融系,浙江 金华 321013
  • 收稿日期:2021-04-28 出版日期:2021-09-15 发布日期:2021-09-29
  • 作者简介:吕江林(通讯作者),江西财经大学/上海财经大学浙江学院教授,博士生导师,主要从事货币银行与金融市场研究,联系方式ljl5983@126.com;叶金生,江西财经大学博士研究生,主要从事货币银行与金融市场研究;张斓弘,上海财经大学浙江学院讲师,主要从事货币银行与风险管理研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金一般项目“基于MS-DSGE和商业银行压力测试模型的我国系统性风险防范研究”(18BJY246)

Research on the Regional Differences and Effects of the Coordinated Development of the Digital Inclusive Finance and the Real Economy

LV Jiang-lin1, 2, YE Jin-sheng1, ZHANG Lan-hong2   

  1. 1. Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013;
    Zhejiang College, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Jinhua 321023, China
  • Received:2021-04-28 Online:2021-09-15 Published:2021-09-29

摘要: 基于2011—2018年省级面板数据,采用Dagum基尼系数、核密度估计和标准差椭圆等分析工具,实证研究了数字普惠金融与实体经济协同发展对我国宏观经济的影响。研究发现,我国数字普惠金融与实体经济协同发展水平保持一定的增长态势,但整体上现有的协同发展水平仍然比较低;数字普惠金融与实体经济协同发展存在一定的空间异质性,东部地区协同发展水平均值显著高于中西部地区,数字普惠金融与实体经济协同发展存在非均衡发展态势;数字普惠金融与实体经济协同发展水平的地区相对差异虽然在逐步缩小,但现有的总体相对差异仍旧较大。数字普惠金融与实体经济协同发展水平的提高对我国宏观经济增长有显著的正向促进效应;相比较而言,西部地区数字普惠金融与实体经济协同发展对宏观经济增长产生的效应最大,东部次之,中部最小。为提升数字普惠金融与实体经济协同发展水平、缩小地区差异,各地区要强化数字普惠金融的支撑作用,引导数字普惠金融更好地服务实体经济,以及针对现有的数字普惠金融与实体经济协同发展存在的空间非均衡现象,积极探索数字普惠金融与实体经济协同发展的区域协调机制。

关键词: 数字普惠金融, 实体经济, 协同发展, Dagum基尼系数, Kernel密度估计

Abstract: Based on the provincial panel data from 2011 to 2018, this paper empirically studies the impact of the collaborative development of the digital inclusive finance and the real economy on China’s macro economy by employing such analytical tools as Dagum Gini coefficient, kernel density estimation and standard deviation ellipse. The findings show that the level of the collaborative development of China’s digital inclusive finance and real economy maintains a certain growth trend, but on the whole, the current level of collaborative development is still relatively lower. There is a certain spatial heterogeneity in the collaborative development of the digital inclusive finance and the real economy. The average level of collaborative development in the eastern region is significantly higher than that in the central and western regions. There is a non-balanced development trend in the coordinated development of the digital inclusive finance and the real economy. Although the regional differences of the collaborative development of the digital inclusive finance and the real economy are reducing gradually, the current relative differences are still larger as a whole. The improvement of the coordinated development of the digital inclusive finance and the real economy has a significant positive effect on China’s macroeconomic growth. Comparatively speaking, the coordinated development of the digital inclusive finance and the real economy in the western region has the largest effect on macroeconomic growth, followed by the eastern region, and the central region is the smallest. In order to improve the collaborative development level of the digital inclusive finance and the real economy and reduce regional differences, all the regions should strengthen the supporting role of the digital inclusive finance, guide the digital inclusive finance to better serve the real economy, and against the existing spatial imbalance of the collaborative development of the digital inclusive finance and the real economy, actively explore the regional coordination mechanism for the coordinated development of the digital inclusive finance and the real economy.

Key words: digital inclusive finance, the real economy, coordinated development, Dagum Gini coefficient, Kernel density estimation

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