当代财经 ›› 2021, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (11): 16-27.

• 理论经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

空间集聚能否提升中国制造业韧性——基于产业适应性结构调整的视角

刘瑞, 张伟静   

  1. 南开大学 经济学院,天津 300071
  • 收稿日期:2021-03-16 修回日期:2021-05-17 出版日期:2021-11-15 发布日期:2021-11-23
  • 通讯作者: 刘瑞,南开大学博士研究生,主要从事区域产业发展研究,联系方式lr940508@163.com。
  • 作者简介:张伟静,南开大学博士研究生,主要从事区域产业发展研究。
  • 基金资助:
    北京市社会科学基金项目“北京市政府债务规模测算、结构分析与空间溢出效应研究”(18YJC018); 天津市研究生科研创新项目 “突发公共事件影响下区域产业韧性评估与提升路径研究”(2020YJSB109)

Can Spatial Agglomeration Enhance the Resilience of China's Manufacturing Industry--From the Perspective of Industrial Adaptive Structure Adjustment

LIU Rui, ZHANG Wei-jing   

  1. Nankai University, Tianjin 300071, China
  • Received:2021-03-16 Revised:2021-05-17 Online:2021-11-15 Published:2021-11-23

摘要: 面对国内外经济风险叠加的现实环境,研究如何提升制造业韧性对推动我国制造业高质量发展具有重要意义。基于产业适应性结构调整视角探讨制造业空间集聚影响制造业韧性的理论机制并使用我国2008—2017年地级市层面数据的实证分析表明,制造业空间集聚显著提升了我国制造业韧性。在更换核心变量、变换模型估计方法以及排除样本选择性偏差后,该结论依然稳健。异质性分析表明,制造业空间集聚可以显著促进大城市制造业韧性提升,但对中小城市制造业韧性的正向作用不显著。进一步研究表明,制造业空间集聚通过激发企业家创新精神以及抑制低质量的创业行为进而促进了我国制造业韧性提升。这意味着,合理引导制造业空间集聚发展有助于增强制造业抵御内外部经济风险的能力。

关键词: 空间集聚, 制造业韧性, 适应性结构调整, 企业家精神

Abstract: Faced with the real environment of domestic and foreign economic risks superposition, it is of great significance to study how to promote the high-quality development of China's manufacturing industry through the improvement of the resilience of the manufacturing industry. From the perspective of industrial adaptive structure adjustment, this paper discusses the theoretical mechanism of the manufacturing spatial agglomeration affecting the manufacturing resilience, and it makes an empirical analysis by using the data of China's prefecture level cities from 2008 to 2017. The results show that manufacturing spatial agglomeration has significantly improved the manufacturing resilience of China. After changing the core variables, transforming the model estimation methods and eliminating the sample selective bias, the conclusion is still robust. The heterogeneity analysis shows that the manufacturing spatial agglomeration can significantly promote the resilience of the manufacturing industry in large-scale cities, but has no significant positive effect on the resilience of the manufacturing industry in small and medium-sized cities. Further research shows that the manufacturing spatial agglomeration can promote the resilience of China's manufacturing industry by stimulating the entrepreneur's innovation spirit and inhibiting the low-quality entrepreneurial behaviors. This indicates that a reasonable guide to the development of the manufacturing spatial agglomeration will help to enhance the ability of the manufacturing industry to resist internal and external economic risks.

Key words: spatial agglomeration, manufacturing resilience, adaptive structural adjustment, entrepreneurship

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