当代财经 ›› 2020, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (2): 116-124.

• 产业与贸易 • 上一篇    下一篇

能源价格扭曲与中国制造业真实贸易利得

蒋含明   

  1. 江西财经大学 国际经贸学院,江西 南昌 330013
  • 收稿日期:2019-08-15 修回日期:2020-01-09 出版日期:2020-02-15 发布日期:2020-12-12
  • 作者简介:蒋含明,江西财经大学副教授,博士,主要从事全球价值链的相关理论及政策研究,联系方式jianghanmingjxcd@sina.com。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重大项目“中国战略性三稀矿产资源供给风险治理研究”(19ZDA111); 国家自然科学基金面上项目“广义Armington替代模型的拓展构造与中国贸易发展的预期应用研究”(71773042); 江西省教育厅科学技术研究项目“要素价格扭曲对江西省出口制造业转型升级的影响机理研究”(GJJ170354)

Energy Price Distortion and Real Trade Gains from China’s Manufacturing Industry

JIANG Han-ming   

  1. Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China
  • Received:2019-08-15 Revised:2020-01-09 Online:2020-02-15 Published:2020-12-12

摘要: 利用2002—2014年我国制造业14个部门以及跨国面板数据,采用空间随机前沿估计方法,考察了全球化生产模式下能源价格扭曲对我国制造业真实贸易利得分配格局造成的冲击与影响,研究结论表明:从整体上看,能源价格扭曲的日趋加剧抑制了制造业真实贸易利得水平的提高,并且这种不利影响在中国同发达国家或地区的经贸往来中更为突出;拓展模型的回归结果显示,能源价格扭曲对那些隐含在最终消费出口中的贸易利得所造成的负面影响更为显著;契约密集度的提高、技术密集使用程度的上升弱化了能源价格扭曲对真实贸易利得所造成的不利影响。

关键词: 真实贸易利得, 能源价格扭曲, 契约密集度

Abstract: By making use of the panel data of the 14 sectors of China’s manufacturing industry and the cross-border data from 2002 to 2014 and employing the spatial stochastic frontier estimation method, this paper investigates the impact and influence of energy prices distortion on the distribution pattern of the real trade gains from China’s manufacture industry under the global production model. The result shows that, on the whole, the increasing energy price distortion has significantly hindered the improvement of the real trade gains of the manufacturing industry, and this kind of adverse effect is more prominent in the economic and trade contacts between China and the advanced countries and regions. The regression result of the development model shows that energy price distortion has a more significant negative effect on the real trade gains embedded in the final consumption export. The rising of contract intensity and the degree of technology intensity has weakened the adverse effect of energy price distortion on the real trade gains.

Key words: real trade gains, energy price distortion, contract intensity

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