当代财经 ›› 2019, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (03): 8-.

• • 上一篇    

生命周期、年龄结构与我国家庭消费负债行为

王聪,杜奕璇   

  1. (暨南大学 经济学院,广东 广州 510632)
  • 收稿日期:2018-10-24 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:王 聪,暨南大学教授,博士生导师,博士,主要从事家庭金融、国际金融研究;杜奕璇,暨南大学博士研究生,主要从事家庭金融与微观计量研究,通讯作者联系方式duyixuan595@126.com。

Life Cycle, Age Structure and Indebted Consumption Behavior of China’s Households

WANG Cong, DU Yi-xuan   

  1. (Ji’nan University, Guangzhou 510632, China)
  • Received:2018-10-24 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 基于2013年中国家庭金融调查数据,从生命周期及年龄结构的角度考察了我国家庭消费负债行为。研究结果表明:户主年龄对我国家庭消费负债行为的影响存在生命周期效应。随着户主年龄增长,家庭持有消费负债的可能性及房产、教育、信用卡负债规模呈现倒U型分布,而汽车负债规模则不断下降;老年人口比显著降低了家庭持有消费负债的可能性及消费负债规模,少儿人口比则显著增加了家庭持有汽车负债的可能性及房产、汽车、信用卡负债规模,15~23岁人口比显著增加了家庭持有教育负债的可能性及负债规模。对此,我国政府和银行等金融机构应重视生命周期及年龄结构对消费信贷市场的影响,通过体制建设和信贷产品创新来满足家庭合理消费信贷需求,激发家庭消费潜力。

关键词: 生命周期,年龄结构,消费负债

Abstract: Based on the data of China’s household finance survey in 2013, this paper examines the indebted consumption behavior of China’s households from the perspective of life cycle and age structure. The results show that there exists life cycle effect in the impact of the age of household head on the indebted consumption behavior of China’s households. With the increase of the age of household’s head, the possibility of families with indebted consumption and the debt scale of house property, education and credit cards will show an inverted U-shaped distribution, while the debt scale of automobiles will decrease continuously. The aged population ratio will significantly reduce the possibility of households with indebted consumption and the scale of indebted consumption, the children proportion ration will significantly increase the possibility of households with indebted automobile consumption and the scale of debt in housing estates, automobile and credit card, and the 15-23 year-old population ratio will significantly increase the possibility and scale of households’ education liabilities. In this regard, the government and the financial institutions such as the banks should pay attention to the impact of life cycle and age structure on the consumer credit markets; they should meet the reasonable needs of residents’ consumer credit through institutional construction and credit product innovation, so as to stimulate the households’ consumption potential.

Key words: life cycle; age structure; indebted consumption