当代财经 ›› 2019, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (01): 35-.

• • 上一篇    

社会信任与消费行为:理论与实证

张海洋1,韩晓1,高一丹2   

  1. (1. 对外经济贸易大学 金融学院,北京 100029;2. 北京大学 光华管理学院,北京 100871)
  • 收稿日期:2018-08-20 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:张海洋,对外经济贸易大学副教授,主要从事数字金融和家庭金融研究;韩 晓,对外经济贸易大学博士研究生,主要从事数字金融研究,通讯作者联系方式hx18366153885@163.com;高一丹,北京大学光华管理学院,主要从事家庭金融研究。

Social Trust and Consumption Behavior: Theory and Evidence

ZHANG Hai-yang1, HAN Xiao1, GAO Yi-dan2   

  1. (1. University of International Business and Economics, Beijing 100029; 2. Peking University, Beijing 100871, China)
  • Received:2018-08-20 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 理论分析表明,家庭对社会的信任程度会影响家庭的消费行为。对社会其他成员信任程度的增加会减少家庭的闲暇,从而增加家庭的收入和总消费;同时,家庭信任程度的增加还将改变家庭在不同类别商品之间的替代,消费更多品质不确定的商品并减少消费品质相对确定的商品。借助中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)数据,并以工具变量法识别因果关系,信任和消费行为之间的因果关系也得到了实证研究的支持。研究同时发现,相对于商品类消费,服务类消费的品质不确定性更强,因此家庭信任度会对餐饮、娱乐、旅游、教育等服务类消费产生较大的影响。

关键词: 社会信任,消费行为,品质不确定性

Abstract: Theoretical analysis indicates that the trust of households in the society will affect their consumption behaviors. The increase of trust in other members of the society will reduce family leisure, thereby the household income and total consumption will be increased. Simultaneously, the increase of household trust can also change their substitutions among different categories of goods, which means to consume more commodities with uncertain quality and less commodities with relative stable quality. By making use of the data from China Family Panel Studies (CFPS), this paper recognize the causal relationship with the instrumental variable method, and the causal relationship between trust and consumption behavior is also verified by the empirical research. The study also finds out that, compared with commodity consumption, the quality of service consumption has a higher uncertainty, therefore, the household trust can exert greater influence on service consumption, such as catering, entertainment, tourism and education, etc..

Key words: social trust; consumption behavior; quality uncertainty