当代财经 ›› 2018, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (12): 46-.

• • 上一篇    

地方财政可持续性评估——兼论税收分权能否提升地方财政可持续性

李建军,王鑫   

  1. (西南财经大学 财政税务学院,四川 成都 611130)
  • 收稿日期:2018-07-08 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:李建军,西南财经大学教授,博士生导师,博士,主要从事财税理论与政策研究,通讯作者联系方式lijj@swufe.edu.cn;王 鑫,西南财经大学博士研究生,主要从事财税理论与政策研究。

Assessment of Local Financial Sustainability: Also on the Possibility of Improvement of Local Fiscal Sustainability by Tax Decentralization

LI Jian-jun, WANG Xin   

  1. (Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu 611130, China)
  • Received:2018-07-08 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 当前我国财政从“收支双高速增长”阶段进入“支出增速大于收入增速”的新阶段,减收和增支效应叠加,地方政府财政面临压力。研究发现,我国地方财政呈现出弱可持续性;税收分权有助于增强地方财政的可持续性,增值税、企业所得税和个人所得税的分权对地方财政可持续性的影响具有异质性,企业所得税和个人所得税分权会显著增强地方财政可持续性,增值税分权对地方财政可持续性影响不显著。因此,应充分重视地方财政可持续性,监控、防范和化解地方财政风险;为增进地方财政可持续性,政府间税收划分中须考虑不同税收分权的激励效应,应继续将企业所得税和个人所得税作为共享税,并适当提高地方分享比例。

关键词: 地方财政,财政可持续性,税收分权,所得税,增值税

Abstract: At present, China’s finance has entered a new stage of“expenditure growth rate being greater than income growth rate”from the stage of“income and expenditure double high growth”; the effects of income reduction and expenditure increase are overlaying, and local government finances are under pressure. The findings of the study indicate that China’s local finance shows a weak sustainability; tax decentralization can help to enhance the sustainability of local finance, the impact of decentralization of value-added tax, corporate income tax and personal income tax on local fiscal sustainability has a heterogenetic nature, the decentralization of corporate income tax and personal income tax will significantly enhance local fiscal sustainability, while the impact of VAT decentralization on local fiscal sustainability is not significant. Therefore, we should pay full attention to local fiscal sustainability, meanwhile, we should monitor, prevent and resolve local fiscal risks. In order to promote local fiscal sustainability, we have to consider the incentive effect of different tax decentralization when dividing intergovernmental taxations. We should also continue to take corporate income tax and individual income tax as the shared tax, and increase the proportion of local sharing appropriately.

Key words: local finance; fiscal sustainability; tax decentralization; income tax; value added tax