当代财经 ›› 2018, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (03): 150-.

• • 上一篇    

交通基础设施、相邻效应与双边贸易——基于中国与“一带一路”国家贸易数据的实证研究

张艳艳,于津平   

  1. (南京大学 商学院,江苏 南京 210093)
  • 收稿日期:2017-10-17 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:张艳艳,南京大学博士研究生,主要从事国际贸易学研究,通讯作者联系方式zhangyanyanzyyzyy@163.com;于津平,南京大学教授,博士生导师,主要从事国际贸易理论及政策研究。

Transportation Infrastructure, Adjacent Effects and Bilateral Trade: An Empirical Analysis Based on the Trade Data of China and“The Belt and Road”Countries

ZHANG Yan-yan, YU Jin-ping   

  1. (Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China)
  • Received:2017-10-17 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 交通基础设施对双边贸易发展起着举足轻重的作用。基于中国与“一带一路”64国1996—2016年的贸易数据,采用似无关方法实证分析了交通基础设施对出口贸易的影响,将空间模型思想引入交通基础设施与中国出口贸易模型,构建相邻效应函数,实证分析进口国及其邻国的交通基础设施对中国出口贸易的影响,研究发现进口国及其邻国的交通基础设施对中国出口贸易具有积极影响,交通基础设施随着人均GDP的增加将会减弱对中国出口贸易的影响,加强对中等收入国家的交通基础设施建设,将显著促进中国与“一带一路”国家的出口贸易。

关键词: 交通基础设施,相邻效应,中国出口贸易,“一带一路”

Abstract: Transportation infrastructure plays a decisive role in the development of bilateral trade. On the basis of the trade data of China and the 64 countries along the “One Belt and One Road” during the period of 1996-2016, this paper employs the seemingly unrelated method to conduct an empirical analysis of the influence of the transportation infrastructures on the export trade. It introduces the spatial model idea into the model of the transportation infrastructure and China’s export trade, establishes the adjacent effect function, and empirically analyzes the influence of the transportation infrastructure of the importing countries and their neighboring countries on China’s export trade. The findings show that the transportation infrastructures of the importing countries and their neighboring countries have a positive effect on China’s export trade. Along with the increase of per capita GDP, the transportation infrastructures will decrease its influence on China’s export trade. To strengthen the construction of transportation infrastructures in the middle-income countries will significantly promote the export trade of China’s to the“Belt and Road”countries.

Key words: transportation infrastructure; adjacent effects; China’s export trade