当代财经 ›› 2017, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (09): 232-.

• • 上一篇    

高铁对城市房价的非线性及异质性影响研究

张铭洪,张清源,梁若冰   

  1. (厦门大学 经济学院,福建 厦门 361005)
  • 收稿日期:2017-04-18 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:张铭洪,厦门大学教授,博士,主要从事财政理论与政策研究;张清源,厦门大学博士研究生,主要从事城市经济学研究,通讯作者联系方式zqy1989@foxmail.com;梁若冰,厦门大学教授,博士,主要从事公共经济学与城市经济学研究。

A Study of the Nonlinear and Heterogeneity Influence of High-Speed Railway on the Real Estate Prices

ZHANG Ming-hong, ZHANG Qing-yuan, LIANG Ruo-bing   

  1. (Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, China)
  • Received:2017-04-18 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 作为现阶段我国重要的交通基础设施,高铁建设对住房价格存在着重要的影响。基于2005—2014年京沪高铁沿线13个主要城市站点周边2245个楼盘的面板数据,构建三重差分模型分析了高铁对房地产价格的影响。研究发现:(1)高铁建设确实显著提高了沿线城市的房地产价格,这种提升效应在一定距离区间内随着距离的增加逐渐减弱,并且主要体现在高铁的建设期中;(2)高铁对城市房价的影响存在显著的异质性。具体而言,高铁对房价高、人口规模大和经济总量高的城市的房价提振作用显著大于房价低、人口规模小和经济总量低的城市。

关键词: 高铁,房价,非线性效应,异质性

Abstract: As one of China’s important transportation infrastructure constructions, the high-speed railway construction can exert significant influences on the real estate prices. Based on the panel data of 2245 premises around the stations of 13 major cities along the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway from 2005 to 2014, this paper tries to analyze the influence of the high-speed railway on the real estate prices by constructing a triple difference model. The findings are that: (1) the construction of high-speed railway can really raise the prices of houses along the high-speed railway significantly, however, within a certain distance, this promotion effect would decrease gradually with the increase of the distance, which is mainly reflected during the period of railway construction; (2) there exists a significant heterogeneity in the influence of high-speed railway on the real estate prices; specifically, the promotion effect of high-speed railway is more significant on cities with higher house prices, larger population and larger economic aggregate than on cities with lower house prices, less population and smaller economic aggregate.

Key words: high-speed railway; real estate prices; nonlinear effect; heterogeneity