当代财经 ›› 2015, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (01): 625-.

• • 上一篇    

中国城镇居民住房消费的再估计——基于中国家庭追踪调查数据的实证分析

赵奉军   

  1. (杭州师范大学 阿里巴巴商学院,浙江 杭州 311121)
  • 收稿日期:2014-10-20 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:赵奉军,杭州师范大学副教授,主要从事城市与房地产经济学研究,联系方式zfjwx@163.com。

Reestimating the Housing Consumption of Chinese Urban Household: An Empirical Analysis Based on Chinese Family Tracking Survey Data

ZHAO Feng-jun   

  1. (Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou 311121, China)
  • Received:2014-10-20 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 住房消费是居民消费支出和GDP的重要组成部分。国际经验表明,住房消费中自有住房的虚拟租金构成了住房消费的主体。我国传统的核算方法由于低估了城镇居民自有住房的虚拟租金,客观上低估了我国城乡居民的住房消费。基于中国家庭追踪调查数据库(CFPS)提供的2010年的数据,采用等价租金法估计了包含自有住房在内的城镇居民的住房消费支出。结果发现,城镇居民的住房消费支出在重估后会有显著提高,但重估后的住房消费并没有显著提高消费占GDP的比重,中国消费率低下的问题不能归结为住房消费的系统性低估。

关键词: 住房消费,自有住房,虚拟租金

Abstract: Housing consumption is an important part of household consumer spending and GDP. International experience shows that the virtual rent of owner-occupied housing constitutes the main part of the housing consumption. Chinese housing consumption in both urban and rural areas has been underestimated because the traditional accounting methods underestimated the virtual rent of the owner-occupied housing. Based on the data of 2010 provided by the Chinese Family Panel Studies database (CFPS), this paper adopts the rental-equivalence approach to reestimate the housing consumption of urban household, including the owner-occupied housing. The results show that the reestimated value of the housing consumption has increased significantly, but it does not significantly increase the consumption share in GDP. China’s problem of low consumption rate cannot be attributed to systematic underestimation of housing consumption.

Key words: housing consumption; owner-occupied housing; virtual rent