当代财经 ›› 2014, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (04): 1623-.

• •    

美国对人民币汇率问题施压的政治经济学分析

韩会朝,徐康宁   

  • 收稿日期:2013-12-05 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:韩会朝,东南大学博士研究生,主要从事国际贸易理论与政策研究,联系方式huichaoh@163.com;徐康宁,东南大学教授,博士生导师,主要从事国际贸易、产业分工和区域经济学研究。

A Political Economics Analysis of U.S. Pressure Exerted on RMB Exchange Rate

HAN Hui-chao, XU Kang-ning   

  • Received:2013-12-05 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 美国对人民币汇率问题的频繁施压是影响中美贸易的重大问题,贸易的政治经济学分析为解释这种现象提供了新的视角。对2010年美国国会《汇率改革促进公平贸易法案》用Probit模型进行的实证分析表明,利益集团的政治捐资强化了国会议员在人民币汇率问题上的强硬立场,议员所在州受到的美中贸易冲击、产业结构和人口结构等因素也影响了他们在人民币汇率问题上的倾向。整体来讲,美国在人民币汇率问题上向中国施压是利益集团、国会议员、选民等基于利益关系博弈的结果。

关键词: 人民币汇率,政治经济学,利益集团

Abstract: The political economics can provide a new perspective to explain the phenomenon that U.S. exerts pressure frequently on the issue of RMB exchange rate which is hindering the Sino-US trade. An empirical analysis with the Probit model on the U.S. congress bill of The Currency Reform for Fair Trade Act in 2010 illustrates that the political contributions of the interest groups have intensified the congressmen’s tough policy attitude on the RMB exchange rate issue, also the factors such as Sino-US trade impact, industrial structure and population structure of the state from which the congressmen come have influenced the congressmen’s attitude on RMB exchange rate policy. In conclusion, it is the result of the game based on the relationship of interests between the interest groups, congressmen, constituency, etc. that leads to U.S. exerting pressure on the RMB exchange rate issue.

Key words: RMB exchange rate; political economics; interest group