当代财经 ›› 2012, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (03): 1493-.

• • 上一篇    

技术进步、结构变迁与中国铁路运输业生产率增长——基于Hicks-Moorsteen生产率指数的实证分析

刘秉镰1   

  1. (1.南开大学 经济与社会发展研究院,天津 300071;
  • 收稿日期:2012-03-19 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:刘秉镰,南开大学教授,博士生导师,主要从事交通经济和区域经济研究;

Technical Progress, Structural Change and Productivity Growth of China’s Railway Transportation Industry: An Empirical Analysis Based on Hicks-Moorsteen Productivity Index

LIU Bing-lian1   

  1. (1. Nankai University, Tianjin 300071,China;
  • Received:2012-03-19 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 利用具有完全可乘性的非参数Hicks-Moorsteen生产率指数,对中国铁路运输业在1997-2010年期间的全要素生产率进行测算和分解,并对区域铁路运输业生产率进行绝对收敛检验。研究发现,平稳快速的技术进步是样本期间内中国铁路运输业全要素生产率快速增长的主要原因,而投入产出混合效率的下降则是各时段某些地区综合效率下降的重要因素;全国及三大地区的铁路运输业生产率在统计上均存在着显著的绝对收敛。此外,还应用面板计量模型实证检验了结构变迁、资本深化和引致需求等诸多因素对于铁路运输业全要素生产率、技术进步以及效率变动的相关影响。研究发现,产业经济结构和铁路运输内部结构分别与铁路运输业生产率之间存在显著的正相关和负相关关系;资本深化程度则呈现出显著的负向影响;各种引致需求因素和铁路路网密度均呈现出显著的正向影响;国有铁路所占比例与公路设施等替代竞争因素则均呈现出不同程度的负相关影响。

关键词: 技术进步,结构变迁,铁路运输业,Hicks-Moorsteen生产率指数

Abstract: By making use of the non-paramatric Hicks-Moorsteen productivity index, this paper measures and decomposes the TFP of China’s railway transportation industry from 1997 to 2009, it also conducts an absolute convergence test of the productivity of the regional railway transportation industry. The findings show that the smooth and fast technical progress is the main reason for the TFP growth of China’s railway transportation industry during that period; the decrease of the input-output mixed efficiency is the important factor for the decrease of the TFPE in some regions; and there exists significant convergence in the statistics of productivity in the industry of nationwide and the three bigger regions. Moreover, by applying the panel data econometric model, this paper performs an empirical test of the relative effect of such factors as structural changes, capital deepening, derived demand, etc. on the TFP of the railway transportation, technical progress and efficiency changes. The findings also show that there exist significant positive and negative correlations between the industrial economic structure and the productivity of railway transportation and between the internal structure of railway transportation and the productivity; the degree of capital deepening shows a significant negative influence; all kinds of derived demands and the railway network density show a significant positive influence; the proportion of state-owned railways and other substitutive competitive factors as highway facilities have presented some negative influences of different degrees.

Key words: technical progress; structural change; railway transportation industry; Hicks-Moorsteen productivity index