江西财经大学学报 ›› 2015, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (01): 491-.

• • 上一篇    

基于动态财务分析的财产保险公司财务风险度量研究

王正文,田 玲,李 慧   

  1. (武汉大学 经济与管理学院,湖北 武汉 430072)
  • 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:王正文,武汉大学讲师,主要从事风险管理研究,联系方式wzw13@whu.edu.cn;田 玲,武汉大学教授、博士生导师,主要从事保险经济学研究;李 慧,武汉大学硕士研究生,主要从事保险经济学研究。

A Study of Financial Risk Measurement of Property Insurance Companies with DFA Model

WANG Zheng-wen, TIAN Ling, Li Hui   

  1. (Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China)
  • Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 受到财产保险业保费水平不断下降和保险资金运用渠道和规模的限制以及中国资本市场发展的影响,中国财产保险业面临着越来越高的财务风险。文章将传统动态财务分析方法与Copula理论相结合构建了财产保险公司财务风险度量模型,并选取了2001年至2011年中国人民财产保险公司历史数据进行实证研究,结果显示财产保险公司为了获取当前收益承担了过高的财务风险。提高可投资资金的比例和提高再保险的比例均能提高保险公司的绩效,但是提高再保险的比例对保险公司的绩效提高的效果更显著,因此,提高再保险比例应该是当前条件下保险公司提高绩效的主要方式。

关键词: 财产保险,财务风险,Copula函数

Abstract: Influenced by the continuous decreases of premium level and the restriction on the channels and scales of insurance fund investment in the property insurance industry as well as the development of China’s capital market, China’s property insurance industry is faced with more and more financial risks. Combined with the classical DFA model and the Copula theory, this paper constructs a financial risk measurement model for property insurance companies. It also conducts an empirical study with the historical data of PICC from 2001 to 2011. The results show that in order to gain the current yields the property insurance companies are undertaking excessive financial risks. To increase the proportion of the investment fund and to increase the reinsurance rate can both improve the performance of the insurance companies, but the effect of increasing the reinsurance rate is more significant. Therefore, to increase the reinsurance rate is the main method to improve the performance of the insurance companies under current conditions.

Key words: property insurance; financial risk; Copula function