江西财经大学学报 ›› 2019, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (04): 129-.

• • 上一篇    

借款者婚姻状态与贷款违约——基于网络借贷平台数据的实证研究

刘浩华1,陈春花1,2   

  1. (1. 江西财经大学 工商管理学院, 江西 南昌 330013;2. 中国农业银行 内蒙古分行, 内蒙古 呼和浩特 010010)
  • 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:刘浩华,江西财经大学教授,博士生导师,主要从事供应链风险管理和供应链金融研究,通讯作者联系方式jxliuhaohua@sohu.com;陈春花,中国农业银行经济师,江西财经大学博士研究生,主要从事P2P网络信贷行为和供应链金融研究。

Marital Status and Loan Defaults of Borrowers: An Empirical Study Based on the Data from Online Lending Platforms

LIU Hao-hua1, CHEN Chun-hua1,2   

  1. (1. Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013; 2. Agricultural Bank of China, Inner Mongolia Branch, Hohhot 010010, China)
  • Published:2021-01-21

摘要: P2P网贷问题平台逐年增多,特别是2018年6月以来,“爆雷”现象频发。P2P网贷平台运营出现问题的一个重要原因是借款者违约,深入研究违约借款者的特征对于该行业的健康发展具有重要意义。现有文献研究发现离婚者与在婚者有很大不同,那么离婚者与在婚者在贷款违约方面是否存在显著差异呢?基于知名P2P网贷平台“玖融网”的数据,采用有序多分类Logit模型和有序多分类Probit模型等方法探究借款者婚姻状态与贷款违约的关系。为更精确地研究借款者的违约行为,将贷款违约程度(违约度)从低到高依次划分为未违约、一般违约和严重违约三个级别。研究发现离婚借款者较在婚借款者的违约度更高。

关键词: P2P网贷,违约,离婚,玖融网

Abstract: The number of problems with P2P online lending platforms in China has been increasing year by year, especially since June 2018, the “mine exploding” phenomena have been seen frequently. An important reason for P2P online lending platforms running into problems is the default of borrowers, so it is significant to study the characteristics of defaulted borrowers for the healthy development of the industry. According to the existing literatures, there is great difference between the divorced and the married. Then, are there any loan default differences between the divorced and the married borrowers? Based on the data from a famous P2P online lending platform -- jiurong.com, this paper employs the ordered multi-classified Logit model, the ordered multi-classified Probit model and other methods to explore the relationship between borrowers’ marital status and loan defaults. In order to study the loan defaults of borrowers more accurately, the degrees of loan defaults are divided into three levels from lower to higher: non-default, general default, and serious default. It is found that the divorced borrowers have higher degree of loan default than the married borrowers.

Key words: peer-to-peer online lending; loan default; divorce; Jiurong net