江西财经大学学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (1): 88-100.

• “三农”研究·县域经济发展专题 • 上一篇    下一篇

“四好农村路”全国示范县创建与农民收入增长——基于政策的准自然实验检验

汤灿1a,b, 徐彩瑶2a,b,c, 孔凡斌1a,b   

  1. 1.南京林业大学 a.数字林业与绿色发展研究院 b.经济管理学院,江苏 南京 210037;
    2.浙江农林大学 a.生态文明研究院 b.浙江省乡村振兴研究院 c.经济管理学院,浙江 杭州 311300
  • 收稿日期:2024-06-20 修回日期:2025-12-16 出版日期:2026-01-25 发布日期:2026-02-09
  • 通讯作者: 孔凡斌,南京林业大学教授,博士生导师,管理学博士,主要从事农林经济管理和生态经济研究,联系方式 kongfanbin@aliyun.com。
  • 作者简介:汤灿,南京林业大学博士研究生,主要从事农林经济管理研究;徐彩瑶,浙江农林大学副教授,管理学博士,主要从事农林经济管理研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重大项目“山水林田湖草沙一体化保护和系统治理研究”(23ZDA105); 国家自然科学基金面上项目“钱江源区山水林田湖草碳汇服务供需过程耦合机理及碳生态补偿关键机制”(42371294); 国家自然科学基金青年项目“数字乡村建设、森林生态产品价值实现与浙江山区26县共同富裕协同机制及政策研究”(42301328)

The Creation of National Model Counties for“Four Good Rural Roads”and Farmers' Income Growth: A Quasi-Natural Experiment Based on Policies

Tang Can1, Xu Cai-yao2, Kong Fan-bin1   

  1. 1. Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037;
    2. Zhejiang A&F University, Hangzhou 311300, China
  • Received:2024-06-20 Revised:2025-12-16 Online:2026-01-25 Published:2026-02-09

摘要: 将“四好农村路”全国示范县创建视为准自然实验,研究农村交通基础设施建设对农民收入的影响及其作用机制。研究表明,“四好农村路”建设能够显著促进农民收入增长,该结论经过一系列稳健性检验后依然成立。机制分析结果表明,“四好农村路”建设通过非农就业、技术采用和产业发展三条路径影响农民收入增长。异质性分析表明,经济发展水平越高、金融资源越丰富和“数字基建”越完善的地区,“四好农村路”建设对农民收入增长的促进作用越能得到更大程度的发挥。“四好农村路”建设具有明显的空间溢出效应,能够显著促进示范县邻近县农民收入增长,且这一现象在东部地区更加明显。因此,政府应积极促进农村公路建管养运协调发展、探索以“劳动力—技术—产业”为立足点的多维发展路径、增强经济发展与金融市场和“数字基建”的协同性、构建跨区域协同发展机制,从而实现“四好农村路”建设助推农民增收的目标。

关键词: “四好农村路”, 农民增收, 经济增长, 非农就业, 产业升级

Abstract: This paper considers the creation of the“Four Good Rural Roads” (FGRR) National Demonstration Counties as a quasi-natural experiment, and studies the impact of the construction of the FGRR on farmers' incomes and its mechanism of action. The study finds that the construction of the FGRR can significantly increase farmers' incomes, this conclusion remains valid after a series of robustness tests. The mechanism analysis reveals that the construction of FGRR influences farmers' income growth through three pathways: non-agricultural employment, technology adoption, and industrial development. The heterogeneity analysis further demonstrates that the more developed the economic level, the better the financial resources and“digital infrastructure”, the greater the extent to which the construction of FGRR can promote farmers' income growth. The construction of FGRR exhibits a significant spatial spillover effect, notably boosting farmers' income growth in the neighboring counties of demonstration counties, with this phenomenon being more pronounced in the eastern region. Therefore, the government should actively promote the coordinated development of rural road construction, management, maintenance, and operation, explore a multidimensional development path anchored in“labor force—technology—industry”, enhance the synergy between economic development and financial markets as well as“digital infrastructure”, and establish a cross-regional collaborative development mechanism, thereby achieving the goal of increasing farmers' income through the construction of FGRR.

Key words: four good rural roads, farmers' income growth, economic growth, non-farm employment, industrial upgrading

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