江西财经大学学报 ›› 2025, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (4): 24-35.

• 经济管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

向“新”逐“质”:新质生产力能提高新型城镇化发展质量吗

张世斌1, 张瑾2, 杨肃昌1   

  1. 1.兰州大学 经济学院,甘肃 兰州 730000;
    2.习近平经济思想研究中心 研究三部,北京 100038
  • 收稿日期:2024-08-30 修回日期:2025-06-11 出版日期:2025-07-25 发布日期:2025-09-17
  • 通讯作者: 杨肃昌,兰州大学教授,博士生导师,经济学博士,主要从事区域经济与城乡发展研究,联系方式zarnet2599@sina.com。
  • 作者简介:张世斌,兰州大学博士研究生,主要从事数字经济与新型城镇化发展研究;张瑾,习近平经济思想研究中心研究员,管理学博士,主要从事创新驱动发展战略与习近平经济思想研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金一般项目“数字经济缩小东西部发展差距的机制与路径研究”(23BJY040); 国家社会科学基金西部项目“基于双重逻辑的城乡融合统计测度、地区差异成因及路径优化研究”(23XTJ003)

Can New Quality Productivity Improve the Quality of New-Type Urbanization Development?

Zhang Shi-bin1, Zhang Jin2, Yang Su-chang1   

  1. 1. Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000;
    2. Xi Jinping Economic Thought Research Center, Beijing 100038, China
  • Received:2024-08-30 Revised:2025-06-11 Online:2025-07-25 Published:2025-09-17

摘要: 新质生产力和新型城镇化发展质量二者向“新”而生、逐“质”而行。基于2011—2021年中国280个城市的面板数据,测度新质生产力发展水平和新型城镇化发展质量水平,实证考察新质生产力对新型城镇化发展质量的影响和作用机制。研究发现:新质生产力能够显著提高新型城镇化发展质量,经过一系列内生性处理和稳健性检验后,该结论依然成立。异质性分析表明,新质生产力对新型城镇化发展质量的提高效果,在资源禀赋具有优势、转型潜力更大、人才吸引力更强的城市中更强。机制分析表明,新质生产力通过城市创新创业效应、城市经济集聚效应、城市绿色转型效应推动新型城镇化发展质量的提高。进一步分析表明,新质生产力对新型城镇化发展质量的影响存在正向空间溢出效应,随着新质生产力水平的持续提高,将有助于城市化进程突破“胡焕庸线”向西移动。因此,应聚焦重大生产力布局的战略方向,根据不同城市的发展基础、资源禀赋和功能定位,采取差异化的政策举措,推动新型城镇化发展向更高质量迈进。

关键词: 新质生产力, 新型城镇化, 颠覆性技术, 创新, 数字技术

Abstract: Both the new quality productivity and the development quality of new-type urbanization inherently embody the pursuit of“novelty”and quality”. Based on panel data from 280 Chinese cities between 2011 and 2021, this study measures the development levels of new quality productivity and the quality of new-type urbanization, and empirically examines the impact and mechanisms through which the new quality productivity influences the development quality of new-type urbanization. The findings reveal that the new quality productivity can significantly improve the quality of the new-type urbanization, this conclusion remains robust after a series of endogeneity treatments and robustness tests. The heterogeneity analysis indicates that the enhancing effect of the new quality productivity on the new-type urbanization quality is stronger in cities with advantageous resource endowments, greater transformation potential, and stronger talent attractiveness. The mechanism analysis demonstrates that the new quality productivity can promote the improvement of the new-type urbanization development quality through urban innovation and entrepreneurship effects, urban economic agglomeration effects, and urban green transformation effects. The further analysis highlights that the new quality productivity has a positive spatial spillover effect on the new-type urbanization quality. As the level of the new quality productivity continues to rise, it will help break the“Hu Huanyong Line”barrier, driving westward expansion of the high-quality urbanization. Therefore, it is imperative to strategically anchor the layout of the major productive forces, adopt differentiated policy measures based on the development foundations, resource endowments, and functional orientations of different cities, and promote the high quality development of the new-type urbanization.

Key words: new quality productivity, new-type urbanization, disruptive technology, innovation, digit technology

中图分类号: