江西财经大学学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (04): 201-.

• • 上一篇    

趋同还是趋异:时空视域下的中国社会保障水平

鲁 於,杨翠迎   

  1. (上海财经大学 公共经济与管理学院,上海 200433)
  • 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:鲁 於,上海财经大学博士研究生,主要从事社会保障理论与政策研究,通讯作者联系方式luyu_123@126.com;杨翠迎,上海财经大学教授,博士生导师,主要从事公共政策与社会保障研究。

Convergence or Divergence:China’s Social Security Level from the Perspective of Time and Space

LU Yu, YANG Cui-ying   

  1. (Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai 200433, China)
  • Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 近年来,中国省份之间的社会保障水平差距逐渐缩小,且地方政府的社会保障水平存在空间集聚特征。采用空间相邻、地理距离和经济距离权重矩阵构建地方政府社会保障水平的空间杜宾模型,实证检验了地区间社会保障水平的趋同性及其趋同机制。结果表明,地区间社会保险基金支出水平的趋同速度大于财政社会保障支出水平的趋同速度,人口流动对地区间社会保障水平的趋同具有促进作用,而财政分权体制则减缓了趋同速度,此外,地区间经济水平差距和财政能力差距的缩小,也是社会保障水平趋同的原因。基于此,建议推进完善社会保险转移接续制度,提高社会保险制度统筹层次,缩小地区间城镇化水平差距,建立社会保障专项转移支付制度。

关键词: 社会保障水平,人口流动,财政分权,空间趋同

Abstract: In recent years, the gap of social security levels between provinces in China has been gradually narrowed, and the social security levels of local governments have the characteristics of spatial agglomeration. By constructing a spatial Durbin model of local governments’ social security levels with a weight matrix of spatial adjacent, geographical distance and economic distance, this paper empirically tests the convergence of inter-regional social security level and the convergence mechanism. The results show that the convergence speed of the expenditure level of inter-regional social insurance fund is greater than that of the expenditure level of the fiscal social insurance. Population mobility has a promoting effect on the convergence of the inter-regional social security level, while the fiscal decentralization would slow the speed of convergence. In addition, the narrowing of the gaps between the inter-regional economic levels and between the fiscal capacity levels is also the reason for the convergence of social security level. Therefore, it is recommended to promote and perfect the transfer and continuation system of social insurance, to improve the overall planning levels of social insurance system, to narrow the gap of the inter-regional urbanization levels, and to establish a special transfer payment system for social security.

Key words: social security level; population mobility; fiscal decentralization; spatial convergence