江西财经大学学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (03): 301-.

• • 上一篇    

延迟退休、计发月数与养老金个人账户财政负担

曹 园   

  1. (中国人民大学 统计学院,北京 100872)
  • 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:曹 园,中国人民大学博士后,讲师,主要从事社会养老精算研究,联系方式caoyuanpaula@163.com。

Delayed Retirement, Devisor Factor and Financial Burden of the Pension Personal Account

CAO Yuan   

  1. (Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China)
  • Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 人口预期寿命的延长导致我国养老金个人账户难以实现自我平衡。当退休后生存超过规定计发月数时,政府因继续支付超计发月数的个人账户养老金而产生财政负担。根据现行计发办法,提高退休年龄之后,养老金计发月数会相应减少。所以,一方面延迟退休会增加个人账户累积额及养老金水平,具有增加财政负担的作用;另一方面,延迟退休又会缩短养老金超计发年限,具有减少财政负担的作用。通过建立个人账户财政负担模型,并利用数值进行模拟测算,也验证了延迟退休最终会增加个人账户财政负担,而提高计发月数会大幅降低财政负担的结论。因此,建议在执行延迟退休政策的同时,应当提高计发月数,并改革计发办法,使计发月数更符合职工退休时的剩余寿命。

关键词: 延迟退休,养老金个人账户,财政负担,计发月数

Abstract: The extension of the life expectancy of the population leads to the difficulty in achieving self-balancing of China’s personal accounts of pension. When the remaining life after retirement exceeds the prescribed devisor factor, the government will be faced with a financial burden due to the continued payment into the personal accounts of pensions. According to the current calculation and payment method, when the retirement age is raised, the devisor factor of the pension payment will be reduced accordingly. Therefore, on the one hand, delayed retirement will increase the accumulated amount in personal accounts and improve the pension level, with the effect of increasing the financial burden; on the other hand, delayed retirement will shorten the pension overdraft period, with the effect of reducing the financial burden. Through the establishment of personal account financial burden model, this paper makes use of the numerical value to conduct a simulation calculation, the results also verify the conclusion that the delay in retirement will eventually increase the financial burden of individual accounts, while to increase the number of months will significantly reduce the financial burden. Therefore, it is recommended that, while implementing the delayed retirement policy, the devisor factor should be increased and the calculation and payment method should be reformed, so that the devisor factor will be more in line with the remaining life of the retired employees.

Key words: delayed retirement; pension personal account; financial burden; devisor factor