江西财经大学学报 ›› 2015, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (05): 437-.

• • 上一篇    

延长退休年龄对基本养老保险统筹基金收支平衡的影响研究

邓大松,仙蜜花   

  1. (武汉大学 社会保障研究中心,湖北 武汉 430072)
  • 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:邓大松,武汉大学教授,博士生导师,主要从事社会保障与公共经济研究;仙蜜花,武汉大学博士研究生,主要从事社会保障理论与政策研究,联系方式965599563@qq.com。

A Study of the Influence of Extending Retirement Age on the Balance of Payments of the Basic Pension Insurance Pooling Funds

DENG Da-song, XIAN Mi-hua   

  1. (Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China)
  • Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 人口老龄化及人们预期寿命的延长给我国职工基本养老保险制度造成威胁,延长退休年龄是缓解基金支付压力的可行措施之一。构建人口预测模型和养老金收支平衡模型,设计11种退休年龄方案并测算不同方案对养老保险统筹基金收支平衡的影响。测算结果发现:延长退休年龄能够延迟养老金出现缺口的时间,一定程度上提高了基金的偿付能力。提出延长男女退休年龄至65岁,重视弹性退休并加大对老年劳动者的保护力度。

关键词: 延长退休年龄,统筹基金,收支平衡,预期寿命,基金缺口

Abstract: The aging population and the prolongation of people’s life expectancy have posed threats to China’s workers basic pension insurance system; to extend the retirement age is one of the possible measures to relieve the fund payment pressure. By constructing a population predictive model and a pension balance model, this paper designs 11 kinds of retirement age plans and calculates the impact of different programs on the balance of payments of the pension insurance fund. The results of the calculation show that to extend the retirement age can delay the coming of pension gap, which will improve the solvency of the fund to some extent. It also proposes to extend the retirement age to 65 for both men and women, to lay emphasis on flexible retirement, and to increase the protection for older workers.

Key words: extending retirement age; pooling funds; balance of payment; life expectancy; fund gap