江西财经大学学报 ›› 2013, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (03): 597-.

• • 上一篇    

我国保险市场结构与市场绩效的关系研究——基于SCP假说的实证检验

袁 成   

  1. (南京大学 经济学院,江苏 南京 210093)
  • 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:袁 成,南京大学讲师,经济学博士,主要从事保险理论与政策研究;

A Study of the Relationship between Market Structure and Market Performance of China’s Insurance Industry: Based on an Empirical Test of the SCP Hypotheses

YUAN Cheng   

  1. (Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China)
  • Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 基于产业经济学的SCP假设,在理论上中国保险市场结构和市场绩效关系有一定因果关系。通过利用1981-2011年的中国经济保险数据和VAR模型进行实证检验后发现两者关系并不完全符合SCP假说,其中市场集中度的下降对市场绩效的影响甚微,而较低的市场绩效反而在一定程度上阻碍了市场结构的优化。这和中国保险制度“财政型”的历史背景、粗放型的发展模式以及不完善的保险监管制度有密切关系。建议在优化保险市场结构的同时需提高保险公司经营效率。

关键词: 市场结构,市场绩效,SCP假说,市场集中度

Abstract: According to the SCP hypotheses of industrial economics, there is a causal relationship between China’s insurance market structure and market performance in theory. But the empirical study conducted with China’s economical and insurance data from 1981 to 2011 and the VAR model shows that the relationship between the two is not completely consistent with the SCP hypotheses. The decline of market concentration has little influence on market performance; on the contrary the lower market performance would hinder the optimizing of market structure to a certain extent. This is closely related with the historic background of China’s financially-supported special insurance system, the extensive mode of development and the imperfect insurance supervisory system. It is suggested that while optimizing the insurance market structure, the operating efficiency of the insurance companies should be improved.

Key words: market structure; market performance; SCP hypotheses; market concentration