江西财经大学学报 ›› 2012, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (04): 641-.

• • 上一篇    

新农保基金入市及资产配置比例模拟分析

薛惠元   

  1. (武汉大学 社会保障研究中心,湖北 武汉 430072)
  • 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:薛惠元,武汉大学讲师,博士后,主要从事社会保障研究;

A Simulation Analysis of the New Farmers’ Insurance Fund Entering the Market and the Proportion of Asset Allocation

XUE Hui-yuan   

  1. (Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China)
  • Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 随着新农保覆盖面的不断扩大,新农保基金积累数额越来越多,实现新农保基金的保值增值已成为当务之急。现行存银行、买国债的投资政策会带来基金贬值风险。当前中国新农保基金进入资本市场的条件已基本成熟,在新农保制度实现全覆盖后,可以考虑将新农保基金投资于资本市场。运用投资组合理论对新农保基金资产配置比例进行模拟分析,发现新农保基金投资于银行存款的比例应不低于20%,投资于国债的比例应不低于20%,投资于企业债的比例应最多不超过50%,投资于股票比例应最多不超过10%。

关键词: 新型农村社会养老保险,资产配置,投资组合

Abstract: With the new farmers’ insurance coverage continues to expand, the accumulated amount of the new farmers’ insurance fund is becoming higher and higher; now it is a top priority to keep and increase the value of the new farmers’ insurance fund. The existing investment policy of bank deposits and buying government bonds will bring risks of depreciation to the fund. At present, the conditions are ripe for China’s new agricultural insurance fund to enter the capital market; when full coverage of the new agricultural insurance system comes into being, we can consider to invest the fund into the capital markets. By applying the portfolio theory to the simulation analysis of the proportion of asset allocation of the new farmers’ insurance fund, it is found that the proportion of the fund to be invested in bank deposits should not be less than 20 percent, the proportion of investment in government bonds should not be less than 20 percent, the proportion to be invested in corporate bonds should be no more than 50 percent, and the proportion to be invested in stocks should be no more than 10 percent.

Key words: new type of rural social endowment insurance; asset allocation; portfolio