关键词: 农户意愿,林业合作组织,博弈行为,Logistic模型

Abstract: This paper conducts a game analysis of the willingness of farmers to join in the forestry cooperation organizations and a regression analysis of each factor affecting the willingness of farmers by using the logistic model. The results show that the following factors have some influences on the directions and degrees of willingness: the age of householder, labor force, forest area, with or without forest ownership, whether taking the forestry income as the principal income, the proportion of forestry income in the total income, the main sources of woodland investment, yearly investment funds to forestry, woodland management methods after forestry property rights reform, the degree of difficulty in maintaining the woodland, with or without forestry cooperation organizations, whether hoping to have professionals to tend woods, whether the Government having set up related technical service organizations, the stability of forest policy, the rationality of policy, and so on.

Key words: willingness of farmers; forestry cooperation organization; game behavior; Logistic model