当代财经 ›› 2026, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (1): 72-85.

• 公共经济与管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

绩效导向的零基预算改革:内在逻辑、现实困境与深化路径

李红霞, 陈伊宁, 庄鹏   

  1. 首都经济贸易大学 财政税务学院,北京 100070
  • 收稿日期:2025-07-18 修回日期:2025-12-10 发布日期:2026-01-19
  • 通讯作者: 庄鹏,首都经济贸易大学博士研究生,主要从事财税理论与政策研究,联系方式852851657@qq.com。
  • 作者简介:李红霞,首都经济贸易大学教授,博士生导师,经济学博士,主要从事财税理论与政策研究;陈伊宁,首都经济贸易大学博士研究生,主要从事财税理论与政策研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金项目“我国减税降费政策效果绩效评估与风险防范研究”(20BJY219); 教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目“新时代中期预算脆弱度分析与可持续路径选择研究”(18YJA790044); 北京市教育委员会社科计划重点项目“北京市中期预算引入预算绩效改革问题研究”(SZ202010038021)

Performance-Oriented Zero-Based Budgeting Reform: Inherent Logic, Practical Dilemmas, and Deepening Paths

Li Hong-xia, Chen Yi-ning, Zhuang Peng   

  1. Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing 100070, China
  • Received:2025-07-18 Revised:2025-12-10 Published:2026-01-19

摘要: 党的二十届三中全会提出“深化零基预算改革”,为高质量发展和健全宏观经济治理体系提供了有力支撑。然而,零基预算改革推进面临多重现实困境,如传统观念存在惯性、部门利益协调难度加大、技术支撑体系较弱、法律保障体系滞后等。在新时代进程中,现代预算制度建设需要锚定社会主要矛盾、政府治理逻辑、中国式现代化等关键目标。新时代国家治理理论、马克思主义国家观理论以及统筹发展与安全的现实要求,共同塑造了预算制度的政治属性与使命导向。作为现代预算制度的重要载体,零基预算改革必须以党的领导为根本遵循,以人民利益为核心目标,通过打破基数依赖、精准配置资源、强化绩效约束,既为高质量发展提供财力支撑,又为防范财政风险筑牢安全屏障。在具体路径上,需将全过程人民民主融入现代预算制度建设,从理念革新、利益协调、技术升级、法律保障等方面深化零基预算改革,最终建成与中国式现代化相适应的中国特色零基预算制度。

关键词: 现代预算制度, 预算管理, 零基预算, 绩效导向, 财政治理

Abstract: The Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China proposed“deepening zero-based budgeting reform”, providing strong support for the high-quality development and improving the macro-economic governance system. However, the advancement of zero-based budgeting reform faces multiple practical challenges, such as the inertia of traditional mindsets, difficulties in coordinating departmental interests, weak technical support systems, and lagging legal safeguards. In the process of the new era, the development of a modern budgeting system must anchor its transformation to the coordinates of the principal social contradictions, the logic of government governance, and the objectives of Chinese modernization. Theories of modern state governance, the Marxist perspective on the state, and the practical requirements of balancing development and security collectively shape the political attributes and mission-oriented nature of the budgeting system. As an important vehicle for modern budgeting systems, zero-based budgeting reform must adhere to the leadership of the Party as its fundamental principle and prioritize the interests of the people as its core objective. By breaking away from baseline dependencies, allocating resources precisely, and strengthening performance constraints, it not only provides financial support for high-quality development but also fortifies safeguards against fiscal risks. In terms of specific pathways, it is essential to integrate whole-process people's democracy into the construction of a modern budgeting system. Reforms in zero-based budgeting should be deepened through conceptual innovation, interest coordination, technological upgrades, and legal safeguards, ultimately establishing a zero-based budgeting system with Chinese characteristics that is compatible with Chinese modernization.

Key words: modern budget system, budget management, zero-based budget, performance-orientation, financial governance

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