当代财经 ›› 2025, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (4): 57-70.

• 现代金融 • 上一篇    下一篇

跨境融资宏观审慎政策的微观效应研究——基于企业经营风险的视角

陆文力a,b, 卢盛荣a,c   

  1. 厦门大学 a. 宏观经济研究中心 b. 经济学院 c. 邹至庄经济研究院,福建 厦门 361005
  • 收稿日期:2024-05-08 修回日期:2025-02-23 出版日期:2025-04-15 发布日期:2025-04-16
  • 通讯作者: 卢盛荣,厦门大学教授,博士生导师,经济学博士,主要从事宏观经济学、货币理论与政策研究,联系方式lsr2008cn@xmu.edu.cn。
  • 作者简介:陆文力,厦门大学博士研究生,主要从事宏观经济理论与政策研究。
  • 基金资助:
    中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金厦门大学中国式现代化研究基金项目“健全新型举国体制,完善科技创新体系研究”(20720231050)

Research on the Micro-Effect of Macro-Prudential Policy for Cross-Border Financing: From the Perspective of Enterprise Operational Risk

Lu Wen-li, Lu Sheng-rong   

  1. Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, China
  • Received:2024-05-08 Revised:2025-02-23 Online:2025-04-15 Published:2025-04-16

摘要: 探究宏观审慎政策的微观效应有利于监管部门更好地把握政策的作用机理,实施更精准的调控政策。以中国人民银行实施全口径跨境融资宏观审慎管理这一事件为准自然实验,利用上市企业数据构造双重差分模型,分析跨境融资宏观审慎政策对微观企业经营风险的影响,研究发现,跨境融资宏观审慎政策有助于降低企业经营风险,这一政策效应在高杠杆企业和融资约束较强的企业中更为明显。机制分析表明,开展跨境融资宏观审慎管理能够抑制企业金融化程度,从而降低企业经营风险。进一步研究发现,紧缩的货币政策搭配跨境融资宏观审慎政策的“双支柱”调控,能进一步降低企业经营风险,且两种政策合力的效果主要体现在成熟期和衰退期的企业样本中。因此,监管部门应继续完善跨境资本流动宏观审慎管理框架,疏通宏观政策在微观层面的传导渠道,并进一步建立健全“双支柱”调控框架,增强宏观政策取向一致性,牢牢守住不发生系统性金融风险的底线。

关键词: 跨境融资宏观审慎政策, 企业金融化, 经营风险, “双支柱”调控;

Abstract: Exploring the micro effects of macro-prudential policies is beneficial for regulatory authorities to better grasp the mechanism of policy and implement more precise regulation. Taking the event of the People’s Bank of China implementing macro prudential management of the full caliber cross-border financing as a quasi natural experiment, this paper uses the data of listed enterprises to construct a double difference model to analyze the impact of macro prudential policies of cross-border financing on the operational risks of micro enterprises. The findings show that the macro prudential policies of cross-border financing can help reduce the operational risks of enterprises, and this policy effect is more obvious in the highly leveraged enterprises and enterprises with strong financing constraints. The mechanism analysis reveals that to carry out macro prudential management of cross-border financing can suppress the degree of financialization of enterprises, thereby reducing their operational risks. Further research has found that a tight monetary policy combined with macro prudential policies for cross-border financing can further reduce operational risks for enterprises. The“dual pillar”regulation can bring better operational stability effects, and the combined effect of the two policies is mainly reflected in the mature and declining enterprise samples. Therefore, the regulatory authorities should continue to improve the macro prudential management framework for cross-border capital flows, unblock the transmission channels of macro policies at the micro level, and further establish and improve the“dual pillar”regulatory framework, enhance the consistency of macro policy orientation, and firmly hold the bottom line of preventing systemic financial risks.

Key words: macro-prudential policy for cross-border financing, corporate financialization, operational risk, two-pillar regulation and control

中图分类号: