当代财经 ›› 2023, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (10): 58-71.

• 现代金融 • 上一篇    下一篇

股票发行注册制改革、投资者情绪和IPO抑价

李科, 林雅嘉, 祁宝   

  1. 上海财经大学 金融学院,上海 200433
  • 收稿日期:2023-02-06 修回日期:2023-08-18 出版日期:2023-10-15 发布日期:2023-10-09
  • 通讯作者: 李科,上海财经大学教授,博士生导师,经济学博士,主要从事公司金融学研究,联系方式li.ke@mail.shufe.edu.cn。
  • 作者简介:林雅嘉,上海财经大学博士研究生,主要从事公司金融学研究;祁宝,上海财经大学博士研究生,主要从事公司金融学研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目“基金行为、股票关联性与股票价格”(72073086)

Stock Issuance Registration System Reform, Investor Sentiment and IPO Underpricing

LI Ke, LIN Ya-jia, QI Bao   

  1. Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai 200433, China
  • Received:2023-02-06 Revised:2023-08-18 Online:2023-10-15 Published:2023-10-09

摘要: 随着注册制改革的全面推行,发行制度和交易制度的变革如何影响IPO股票定价成为多方关注的重点。以创业板注册制改革作为准自然实验,构建DID模型,探寻投资者情绪对IPO股票定价的影响发现,相对于核准制主板市场,投资者参与注册制创业板IPO股票“打新”的热情上升,投资者情绪加剧了注册制创业板IPO股票抑价。同时,相对于主板市场,注册制创业板IPO股票表现出更高的信息含量,这说明,注册制改革后,IPO抑价的变化不能由信息不对称解释。进一步分析显示,在投资者情绪推升股票短期估值的情况下,注册制创业板IPO股票表现出更显著的长期反转。分析师关注度高、乐观程度高、意见分歧大的股票,IPO抑价受注册制的影响更大。投资者结构更理性的科创板股票没有表现出更高的投资者情绪和IPO抑价,说明投资者情绪影响了创业板IPO定价。上述结论意味着,在注册制改革过程中,政府、企业和投资者不仅需要了解上市公司相关信息的披露情况,还需要密切关注股票投资者情绪变化,促进资本市场和实体经济的稳定发展。

关键词: 投资者情绪, IPO抑价, 注册制改革, 信息不对称

Abstract: With the comprehensive implementation of the registration system reform, how the reform of the issuing system and the trading system affects IPO stock pricing has become the focus of attention. Taking the reform of GEM registration system as a quasi-natural experiment, this paper constructs a DID model to explore the impact of investor sentiment on IPO stock pricing. The findings show that, compared with the approved main board market, investors are more enthusiastic to participate in the subscription of IPO stocks of registered GEM, and the investor sentiment can aggravate the underpricing of the registered GEM IPO stocks. Meanwhile, compared with the main board market, the IPO stock of the registered GEM presents more information contents, which proves that the changes of IPO underpricing after the reform of the registration system cannot be explained by information asymmetry. Further analysis shows that the registered GEM IPO stocks exhibit a more significant long-term reversal when investor sentiment drives up short-term stock valuations. Stocks with higher analyst attention, higher optimism, and wider divergent opinions are more affected by the registration system for IPO underpricing. The science and technology innovation board stocks with a more rational investor structure do not show a higher investor sentiment and IPO underpricing, which indicates that investor sentiment would affect the IPO pricing of the GEM. The above conclusion means that in the process of registration system reform, the government, enterprises, and investors not only need to understand the disclosure of relevant information of listed companies, but also need to closely monitor the emotional changes of stock investors, so as to promote the stable development of the capital market and the real economy.

Key words: investor sentiment, IPO underpricing, registration system reform, information asymmetry

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