当代财经 ›› 2023, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (5): 3-14.

• 理论经济 •    下一篇

人工智能、就业结构与高质量发展

史丹, 叶云岭   

  1. 中国社会科学院 工业经济研究所,北京 100006
  • 收稿日期:2022-11-22 修回日期:2023-02-20 出版日期:2023-05-15 发布日期:2023-05-10
  • 通讯作者: 叶云岭,中国社会科学院工业经济研究所博士后,经济学博士,主要从事产业经济研究,联系方式 yeyl@cass.org.cn。
  • 作者简介:史丹,中国社会科学院工业经济研究所研究员,浙江财经大学-中国社科院大学浙江研究院合作项目负责人,博士生导师,管理学博士,主要从事产业经济与能源经济研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金专项项目“面向碳中和的中国经济转型模式构建研究”(72140001); 中国社会科学院博士后创新项目“双碳目标与中国制造业高质量发展研究”

Artificial Intelligence, Employment Structure and High-Quality Development

SHI Dan, YE Yun-ling   

  1. Institute of Industrial Economics of CASS, Beijing 100006, China
  • Received:2022-11-22 Revised:2023-02-20 Online:2023-05-15 Published:2023-05-10

摘要: 人工智能作为新一轮科技革命和产业变革的引领性力量,势必会对高质量发展产生深刻影响。基于2008—2019年中国283个城市面板数据并将不同技能劳动力就业结构纳入人工智能与高质量发展分析框架的实证研究表明,人工智能应用可以促进城市产业结构升级,提升城市技术创新水平和绿色低碳水平,从而推动城市高质量发展。从理论机制来看,缩减低技能劳动力的就业份额和提升高技能劳动力的就业比重可以强化人工智能应用对高质量发展的促进作用。分区域来看,东部地区人工智能应用显著促进城市高质量发展,高技能劳动力会强化人工智能对于高质量发展的影响效果;而东北地区人工智能应用显著抑制高质量发展,低技能劳动力会加剧人工智能对于高质量发展的抑制作用。上述结论意味着,应积极推进人工智能应用,赋能高质量发展,同时各地区应根据就业结构等客观实际制定差异化的人工智能发展策略。

关键词: 人工智能, 高质量发展, 就业结构, 工业机器人

Abstract: As a leading force in a new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial transformation, artificial intelligence (AI) is bound to have a profound impact on the high-quality development. Based on the panel data of 283 cities in China from 2008 to 2019 and bringing the employment structure of the labor force with different skills into the analytical framework of AI and high-quality development, this paper conducts an empirical study. The findings show that the application of AI can promote the upgrading of urban industrial structure, raise the level of urban technological innovation and green and low carbon, so as to further promote the high-quality development of the cities. From the perspective of theoretical mechanism, the application of AI can promote high-quality urban development by reducing the employment share of low-skilled labors and increasing the employment share of high-skilled labors. From the perspective of different regions, the application of AI in the eastern region can significantly promote the high-quality development of the cities, and the high-skilled labor force will strengthen the impact of AI on the high-quality development; while the application of AI in the northeast region will significantly inhibit the high-quality development, and the low-skilled labor force will intensify the inhibition of AI on the high-quality development. The above conclusions suggest that the application of AI should be actively promoted to enable the high-quality development. Meanwhile, different regions should formulate differentiated AI development strategies according to the objective realities, such as employment structure and so on.

Key words: artificial intelligence, high-quality development, employment structure, industrial robot

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