当代财经 ›› 2018, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (06): 121-.

• • 上一篇    

地方政府债务的收入增长效应与分配效应研究——来自中国的证据

刘伦武   

  1. (江西财经大学 经济学院,江西 南昌 330013)
  • 收稿日期:2018-02-12 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:刘伦武,江西财经大学副教授,博士,主要从事公共经济、产业经济理论与政策研究,联系方式llw6303@126.com。

A Study of Income Growth Effect and Distribution Effect of Local Government Debt: Evidences from China

LIU Lun-wu   

  1. (Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China)
  • Received:2018-02-12 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 利用2000-2015年中国30个省份的样本数据,运用包容性增长分析方法,实证分析了中国地方政府债务的收入增长效应与分配效应。研究结果表明:从总体上看,地方政府债务规模膨胀不利于居民收入增长,扩大了收入分配差距,导致收入分配结构恶化。在不同地区之间和不同群体之间,地方政府债务的收入增长效应与分配效应存在差异。在西部地区,地方政府债务对收入增长与分配的影响最大,东部与中部地区较小。地方政府债务有利于经验丰富群体的收入增长,但不利于受教育程度较高群体的收入增长。建议地方政府应当减轻债务负担,举债适度;实施有差别的区域债务政策,西部地区地方政府应尽可能减少负债。

关键词: 地方政府债务,收入增长效应,收入分配效应,债务负担

Abstract: By making use of the sample data of 30 provinces in China from 2000 to 2015 and employing the analyzing method of inclusive growth, this paper conducts an empirical analysis of the income growth effects and distribution effects of local government debts in China. The findings show that in general the expansion of the scale of local government debt is to the disadvantage of the growth of resident income and widens the income distribution gap, which would lead to the worsening of the income distribution structure. Between the different regions and different groups, the income growth effect and the distribution effect of local government debts have some differences. In the western regions, the impact of local government debt on income growth and distribution is the greatest, while in the eastern and central regions, it is relevantly less. Local government debt is conducive to the income growth of the experienced groups, while it is not conducive to the groups with higher education level. So it is suggested that local government should ease the debt burden and keep an appropriate level of debt. The central government should implement a differentiated regional debt policy, and the local governments in the western regions should reduce their debts as many as possible.

Key words: local government debt; income growth effect; income distribution effect; debt burden