当代财经 ›› 2018, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (09): 78-.

• • 上一篇    

经济政策不确定性与企业出口——基于中国工业企业数据的实证研究

谢申祥a,冯玉静b   

  1. (山东财经大学 a. 财政税务学院;b. 国际经贸学院,山东 济南 250014)
  • 收稿日期:2018-03-06 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:谢申祥,山东财经大学教授,博士生导师,博士,主要从事国际贸易理论与政策研究,通讯作者联系方式xsx786@163.com;冯玉静,山东财经大学博士研究生,主要从事国际贸易理论与政策研究。

Economic Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Export: An Empirical Study Based on the Data of China’s Industrial Enterprises

XIE Shen-xiang, FENG Yu-jing   

  1. (Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014, China)
  • Received:2018-03-06 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 经济政策不确定性是影响企业的出口的重要因素。以中国工业企业微观数据为基础,通过构建经验模型,分析经济政策不确定性对企业出口参与和出口量的影响。研究结果表明,经济政策不确定性会显著影响企业的出口。具体而言,国内经济政策不确定性升高会提高国内企业的出口意愿和出口量;出口目的国经济政策不确定性升高,则会抑制国内企业的出口意愿,也会降低国内企业出口量。在考虑到各种不同情形的检验之后,本文的基本结论依然成立。本文的研究拓展了企业异质性贸易理论的经验分析,同时也深化了我们对经济政策所引致的经济效应的认识。

关键词: 经济政策不确定性,企业出口参与,企业出口量

Abstract: Economic policy uncertainty is an important factor influencing the export of enterprises. Based on the micro-data of Chinese industrial enterprises and through constructing an empirical model, this paper tries to analysis the impact of economic policy uncertainty on the export willingness and export volumes of enterprises. The results show that the economic policy uncertainty will affect firm export behavior significantly. To be specific, the increasing domestic economic policy uncertainty would promote the export willingness and export volumes of enterprises; while the increasing economic policy uncertainty in destination countries would inhibit both the export willingness and volumes of the domestic enterprises. The basic conclusion of this paper is still valid after tests under various conditions are considered. The study of this paper not only extends the empirical analysis of firm heterogeneity trade theory, but also deepens our understanding of the economic effects caused by the economic policies.

Key words: economic policy uncertainty; firm export participation; firm export volume