当代财经 ›› 2015, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (09): 523-.

• • 上一篇    

央行沟通与实际干预工具的组合匹配:来自美联储的证据

史焕平1,谭天骄2   

  1. (1. 华东交通大学 经济管理学院,江西 南昌 330013;2. 南京财经大学 金融学院,江苏 南京 210046)
  • 收稿日期:2015-04-30 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:史焕平,华东交通大学教授,经济学博士,主要从事货币经济学、货币政策理论与实践和产业经济学研究,联系方式emshp@tom.com;谭天骄,南京财经大学教师,硕士,主要从事货币政策理论与实践、银行管理研究。

Combinative Matching between Central Bank’s Communication and Actual Intervention Tool: Evidence from FED

SHI Huan-ping1, TAN Tian-jiao2   

  1. (1. East China Jiaotong University, Nanchang 330013; 2.Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, Nanjing 210046, China)
  • Received:2015-04-30 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 央行沟通作为央行调控的一项新兴有效手段,已被多国纳入货币政策的操作工具。以美联储为研究样本,通过研究比较央行沟通与实际干预工具在组合匹配与否下的两种调控效果,发现央行沟通与居民消费物价指数和经济增长之间存在因果关系;同时,与实际干预工具不匹配情况相比,在央行沟通与其匹配的情况下,前瞻性指引能够较为有效地引导经济主体形成合理预期,消费物价指数和经济增长的冲击力度和贡献率更大。我国应将央行沟通作为货币政策中常态化的调控手段,并努力在明确央行沟通的实施框架、作用范围、传导机制的基础上,实现与实际干预工具的组合匹配。

关键词: 央行沟通,实际干预工具,组合匹配,美联储

Abstract: As a new and useful regulation tool, central bank communication (CBC) has been taken into the special monetary policy by many countries. Taking the Federal Reserve (FED) as the research sample, this paper studies and compares the two regulated effects with or without the combinative matching between central bank communication and actual intervention tool. The results show that there exists a cause-and-effect relationship between CBC, CPI and economic growth. Meanwhile, compared with the mismatching of actual intervention tool, in the context of the matching of CBC, the forward looking guide can more effectively lead economic subjects to forming rational expectation, and the degree of impact and the contribution rate of CPI and economic growth will be greater. China should take CBC as the normalized regulating means in its monetary policy, so as to realize the combinative matching with the actual intervention tools on the basis of the clarified implementation framework, range of action and transmission mechanism of CBC.

Key words: central bank’s communication; actual intervention tools; combinative matching; the Federal Reserve