当代财经 ›› 2019, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (06): 1816-.

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经济政策不确定性、融资约束与全要素生产率——来自中国上市公司的经验证据

段梅a,李志强b   

  1. (江西财经大学 a. 金融学院;b. 统计学院,江西 南昌 330013)
  • 收稿日期:2018-10-11 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:段 梅,江西财经大学讲师,经济学博士,主要从事宏观经济政策研究;李志强,江西财经大学教授,博士,主要从事应用统计学研究,通讯作者联系方式qwwy9999@163.com。

Economic Policy Uncertainty, Financing Constraints and TFP: Empirical Evidences from Chinese Listed Companies

DUAN Mei, LI Zhi-qiang   

  1. (Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China)
  • Received:2018-10-11 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 稳定的经济政策给企业经营提供稳定的外部环境,有利于企业全要素生产率提升;相反,不确定的经济政策环境可能会阻碍企业全要素生产率提升。基于2002—2016年中国A股上市公司数据的研究表明,经济政策不确定性对企业全要素生产率有显著的负面影响;进一步区分企业产权性质、规模以及所在地区后发现,经济政策不确定性对企业全要素生产率的负面影响只作用于非国有企业、小规模企业以及东部企业。此外,对于非国有企业、小规模企业以及东部企业,其内部现金流越充裕,经济政策不确定性对其全要素生产率的负面影响越小。这表明,企业面临的融资约束是经济政策不确定性影响企业全要素生产率的一个重要因素,充裕的内部现金流缓解了企业面临的外部融资约束,从而降低了经济政策不确定性对企业全要素生产率的负面影响。

关键词: 经济政策不确定性,全要素生产率,融资约束,内部现金流

Abstract: A stable economic policy can provide a stable external environment for business operations, which is conducive to the improvement of total factor productivity. On the contrary, an uncertain economic policy environment may hinder the improvement of total factor productivity. Based on the data of China’s A-share listed companies from 2002 to 2016, the findings of this study indicate that the uncertainty of economic policy has a significant negative impact on the total factor productivity of enterprises. Further distinguishing the nature, scale and location of the property rights of the enterprise, it can be seen that the negative impact of the uncertainty of economic policy on the corporate total factor productivity only applies to non-state-owned enterprises, small-scale enterprises and enterprises located in the eastern region. In addition, for non-state-owned enterprises, small-scale enterprises and the enterprises in the eastern region, the more abundant their internal cash flow, the less negative impact of the uncertainty of economic policy on their TFP. This indicates that the financing constraints faced by enterprises are an important way for economic policy uncertainty to affect the total factor productivity of the enterprises. The abundant internal cash flow alleviates the external financing constraints faced by the enterprises, thus reducing the negative impact of uncertainty of economic policies on the TFP of the enterprises.

Key words: economic policy uncertainty; total factor productivity; financing constraints; internal cash flow