当代财经 ›› 2026, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (6): 31-44.

• 理论经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

数据要素驱动经济增长的乘数效应和溢出效应

郑安邦, 冯华   

  1. 北京交通大学 经济管理学院,北京 100044
  • 收稿日期:2025-09-23 修回日期:2025-12-23 出版日期:2026-06-15 发布日期:2026-06-17
  • 通讯作者: 冯华,北京交通大学教授,博士生导师,经济学博士,主要从事数字经济与产业创新研究,联系方式hfeng@bjtu.edu.cn。
  • 作者简介:郑安邦,北京交通大学博士研究生,主要从事数字经济与产业创新研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重点项目“以四链融合提升国家创新体系整体效能研究”(23AJY001)

The Multiplier and Spillover Effects of Economic Growth Driven by the Data Factor

Zheng An-bang, Feng Hua   

  1. Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China
  • Received:2025-09-23 Revised:2025-12-23 Online:2026-06-15 Published:2026-06-17

摘要: 数字时代,以数据为驱动、以资本为主体的“干中学”效应正在形成。作为生产过程的副产品,数据既依附于资本而产生,又成为机器学习算法的学习素材,提升了资本中的算法性能。由于数据具有非竞争性,产出无法以数据的边际贡献向数据所有者支付报酬,在收益分配上要将其与竞争性要素绑定。基于资本“干中学”的新视角,将数据这一新要素引入内生经济增长框架中的理论分析表明,数据具有乘数效应,能够将经济的平衡增长路径推高;对于具有不同要素禀赋的两个地区,它们在“无数据”“排他性数据”和“自由流动数据”三种情景中具有不同的平衡增长路径。比较静态分析表明,自由流动数据的经济增长效应能被分解为乘数效应和溢出效应两个部分。乘数效应将各地的平衡增长率推高,但也扩大了地区差距;溢出效应使要素禀赋较好地区的数据红利溢出到要素禀赋较差地区,促进了经济的包容性增长。实践中,对于高排他的数据要重视做大做强其数据乘数;对于公共数据等非排他数据要打破数据孤岛,也要加快构建安全可信的数据流动生态。

关键词: 数据要素, 经济增长, 乘数效应, 溢出效应, 资本“干中学”

Abstract: In the digital era, a“learning by doing”effect driven by data and embodied in capital is emerging. As a by-product of the production process, data is not only generated through capital but also serves as learning materials for machine learning algorithms, thereby enhancing algorithmic performance in capital. Given the non-rivalrous nature of data, output cannot remunerate data owners based on the marginal contribution of data; thus, in income distribution, data should be bundled with rivalrous factors. From a new perspective of capital “learning by doing”, a theoretical analysis that introduces data as a new factor into the endogenous economic growth framework shows that data exhibits a multiplier effect, which elevates the balanced growth path of the economy. For the two regions with different factor endowments, they exhibit different balanced growth paths under the three scenarios of “no data”,“exclusive data”, and“freely flowing data”. The comparative static analysis indicates that the economic growth effect of freely flowing data can be decomposed into a multiplier effect and a spillover effect. The multiplier effect raises the balanced growth rate of each region but also widens regional disparities; and the spillover effect allows data dividends from regions with better factor endowments to spill over to those with poorer endowments, promoting the inclusive growth of their economy. In practice, for highly exclusive data, emphasis should be placed on strengthening its data multiplier; and for non-exclusive data such as public data, policy should break down data silos and promote the building of a secure and trustworthy data-flow ecosystem.

Key words: data factor, economic growth, multiplier effect, spillover effect, capital “learning by doing”

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