当代财经 ›› 2025, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (8): 99-111.

• 企业管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

货币政策不确定性、集团内部资源配置与企业劳动雇佣

潜力, 郑秋石   

  1. 江西财经大学 金融学院,江西 南昌 330013
  • 收稿日期:2024-09-01 修回日期:2025-03-25 出版日期:2025-08-15 发布日期:2025-09-03
  • 通讯作者: 郑秋石,江西财经大学博士研究生,主要从事公司金融研究,联系方式qiushi_zheng@126.com。
  • 作者简介:潜力,江西财经大学教授,博士生导师,经济学博士,主要从事公司金融研究。
  • 基金资助:
    江西省社会科学基金重点项目“提升我省重点产业链供应链韧性和自主可控能力研究”(24ZXQH12); 江西省高校人文社会科学研究项目“数字要素赋能江西产业链韧性提升的机制与路径研究”(JJ24102); 江西省研究生创新专项资金项目“基于SIR传染模型的内部资本市场风险传染机制研究”(YC2023-B171)

Monetary Policy Uncertainty, Group Internal Resource Allocation and Corporate Labor Employment

Qian Li, Zheng Qiu-shi   

  1. Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China
  • Received:2024-09-01 Revised:2025-03-25 Online:2025-08-15 Published:2025-09-03

摘要: 党的二十届三中全会强调,要健全高质量充分就业促进机制,完善就业公共服务体系,着力解决结构性就业矛盾。在此背景下,深入探究企业劳动雇佣决策的影响因素具有重要意义。基于2007—2022年沪深A股上市公司及其子公司数据的实证研究结果显示,在货币政策不确定性上升的情况下,企业集团能通过跨地区、跨行业的资源配置策略维持劳动雇佣的稳定。具体而言,货币政策不确定性会通过实物期权效应和金融摩擦效应抑制企业劳动雇佣规模,而企业集团通过内部劳动力配置缓解实物期权效应,同时借助内部资本配置弱化金融摩擦效应,从而维持劳动雇佣规模的整体稳定。这一效应在民营控股和融资受限的企业集团中更为显著。此外,在货币政策不确定性的冲击下,企业集团能通过内部资源配置持续优化劳动雇佣结构,以降低外部风险的影响。基于上述研究结论,为应对复杂经济环境下的就业挑战,政府应进一步提高货币政策的稳健性,加大对中小企业的扶持力度,加强劳动保护和社会保障体系建设,注重经济效益与社会效益的平衡。

关键词: 企业集团, 劳动雇佣决策, 内部劳动力市场, 内部资本市场

Abstract: The 3rd Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China emphasized the need to improve the mechanism for promoting high-quality and full employment, enhance the public employment service system, and focus on addressing structural employment contradictions. In this context, it is particularly important to delve into the factors influencing corporate labor employment decisions. An empirical study based on the data from the listed companies and their subsidiaries in the Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share markets from 2007 to 2022 shows that when monetary policy uncertainty (MPU) increases, corporate groups can maintain the stability of labor employment through cross-regional and cross-industry resource allocation strategies. Specifically, MPU will inhibit the scale of corporate labor employment through real options effects and financial frictions, while corporate groups can mitigate the real options effect by internal labor allocation and weaken the financial frictions through internal capital allocation, thereby maintaining the overall stability of labor employment scale. This effect is more pronounced in private enterprises and corporate groups with financing constraints. Additionally, under the impact of MPU, corporate groups can continuously optimize labor employment structures through internal resource allocation to reduce the impact of external risks. Based on the aforementioned research conclusions, to address employment challenges in a complex economic environment, the government should further enhance the robustness of monetary policy, increase support for small and medium-sized enterprises, strengthen labor protection and the construction of the social security system, and focus on balancing economic and social benefits.

Key words: business group, labor employment decision-making, internal labor market, internal capital market

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