当代财经 ›› 2024, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (7): 45-58.

• 公共经济与管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

数字经济发展能降低地方政府土地财政依赖吗

朱乾隆a, 邹旭a, 石晓平a,b   

  1. 南京农业大学 a.公共管理学院,b.中国资源环境与发展研究院,江苏 南京 210095
  • 收稿日期:2023-11-29 修回日期:2024-05-08 出版日期:2024-07-15 发布日期:2024-08-27
  • 通讯作者: 石晓平,南京农业大学教授,博士生导师,博士,主要从事公共经济政策研究,联系方式serena2@njau.edu.cn。
  • 作者简介:朱乾隆,南京农业大学博士研究生,主要从事公共经济政策研究;邹旭,南京农业大学博士后研究人员,博士,主要从事公共经济政策研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划“政府间国际科技创新合作”重点专项项目“粮食与食品双安全战略下的自然资源持续利用与环境治理”(2016YFE0103100); 国家社会科学基金项目“共同富裕进程中土地市场发育的支持政策研究”(22VRC163); 南京农业大学中央高校基本科研业务费人文社会科学研究基金“城市建设用地复合利用的绩效评估与增值收益共享机制研究”(SKYZ2023004)

Can the Development of Digital Economy Reduce the Dependence of Local Governments on Land Finance?

ZHU Qian-long, ZOU Xu, SHI Xiao-ping   

  1. Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China
  • Received:2023-11-29 Revised:2024-05-08 Online:2024-07-15 Published:2024-08-27

摘要: 借力数字经济发展降低地方政府土地财政依赖,既是提高地方财政可持续性的必然选择,也是促进经济高质量发展的必由之路。基于 2011—2021 年我国 277个地级市的面板数据,实证分析数字经济发展对地方政府土地财政依赖的影响及其作用机制。研究表明:数字经济发展能够显著地降低地方政府土地财政依赖,但该影响因城市地理区位和资源禀赋呈现异质性特征。机制分析表明,财政压力在数字经济发展影响地方政府土地财政依赖的过程中起到中介作用,经济增长压力在其中发挥负向调节作用。门槛效应检验发现,数字经济发展对地方政府土地财政依赖的影响存在门槛效应,当数字经济发展水平或数字基础设施建设水平跨过门槛值时,数字经济发展对地方政府土地财政依赖的影响显著增强。因此,要加快数字基础设施建设,为数字经济发展降低地方政府土地财政依赖奠定基础;持续释放数据要素潜能,以经济发展模式转型破解地方政府财政困局;健全地方政绩考核机制,以制度创新持续规范地方政府土地出让行为。

关键词: 数字经济发展, 地方政府, 土地财政依赖, 财政压力

Abstract: By leveraging the development of digital economy to reduce the dependence of local governments on land finance, it is not only an inevitable choice to enhance the sustainability of local finance, but also a necessary path to promote high-quality economic development. Based on the panel data from 277 prefecture level cities in China from 2011 to 2021, this study empirically explores the impact of digital economy development on the dependence of local governments on land finance and its mechanism. The findings show that the development of the digital economy can significantly reduce the dependence of local governments on land finance, but this impact exhibits heterogeneity due to the geographical location and resource endowment of the cities. The mechanism analysis indicates that the financial pressure plays an intermediate role in the process of digital economy development affecting local government’s land financial dependence, and that the economic growth pressure exerts a negative moderating effect. The threshold effect test reveals that there is a threshold effect of the impact of digital economic development on the dependence of local governments on land finance. When the level of digital economic development or the level of the construction of digital infrastructure cross the threshold value, its impact on the dependence of local governments’ land finance will be significantly strengthened. Therefore, it is suggested to accelerate the construction of digital infrastructure to lay the foundation for digital economic development reducing the land financial dependence of the local governments, continuously unleash the potential of data elements to transform the economic development model and solve the financial dilemma of local governments, and improve the local performance evaluation mechanism to continuously regulate the land transfer behaviors of local governments through institutional innovation.

Key words: digital economic development, local government, land financial dependence, financial pressure

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