当代财经 ›› 2020, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (5): 3-12.

• 理论经济 •    下一篇

2019年中国工业经济运行分析及2020年展望

张航燕, 史丹   

  1. 中国社会科学院 工业经济研究所,北京 100836
  • 收稿日期:2020-02-08 修回日期:2020-03-24 出版日期:2020-05-15 发布日期:2020-12-11
  • 通讯作者: 张航燕,中国社会科学院工业经济研究所副研究员,博士,主要从事工业经济运行研究,联系方式hy6029@163.com
  • 作者简介:史 丹,中国社会科学院工业经济研究所研究员,博士生导师,主要从事产业经济和能源经济研究。
  • 基金资助:
    中国社会科学院登峰战略优势学科(产业经济学)和中国社会科学院重点学科(发展经济学)支持项目

An Analysis of China's Industrial Economy Operation in 2019 and Its Outlook in 2020

ZHANG Hang-yan, SHI Dan   

  1. Institute of Industrial Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100836, China
  • Received:2020-02-08 Revised:2020-03-24 Online:2020-05-15 Published:2020-12-11

摘要: 2019年,我国工业经济整体呈现“生产放缓、结构优化”的运行特征,具体表现为工业生产增速放缓、企业盈利水平下降、新旧动能转换加速、工业结构优化升级。制造业融资能力不足,中西部地区降耗压力大及区域工业发展不充分、不平衡,是当前工业经济运行中面临的突出问题。2020年,国内外环境和形势严峻复杂,我国工业经济仍面临不少隐忧和挑战以及较大的下行压力。中国工业经济发展应该充分体现短期积极应对与中长期改革发展相结合的思想,一方面扩需求,努力实现工业经济平稳较快发展;另一方面,继续保持战略定力和战略耐心,深化供给侧结构性改革,全力推动工业经济高质量发展。

关键词: 中国工业经济, 运行特征, 高质量发展, 展望

Abstract: In 2019, China's industrial economy as a whole exhibited the operation characteristics of “production slowing down and structural optimization”. The specific performances were the slowdown in industrial production growth, the decline in corporate profitability, the acceleration of new and old kinetic energy conversion, and the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure. The insufficient financing capacity of the manufacturing industry, the great pressure to reduce consumption in the central and western regions and the insufficient and unbalanced regional industrial development are the outstanding problems facing the current industrial economy operation. In 2020, the environment and situation both at home and abroad will be severe and complicated; China's industrial economy will still face many hidden worries and challenges, as well as greater downward pressure. China's industrial economic development should fully reflect the idea of combining short-term positive response with medium and long-term reform and development. On the one hand, we should expand demand and strive to achieve steady and rapid development of the industrial economy. On the other hand, we should continue to maintain strategic determination and strategic patience, deepen supply-side structural reform, and make every effort to promote the high-quality development of the industrial economy.

Key words: China's industrial economy, operating characteristics, high-quality development, outlook

中图分类号: