当代财经 ›› 2020, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (5): 13-25.

• 理论经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

新中国70年宏观调控政策的回顾及展望

杨飞虎, 杨洋   

  1. 江西财经大学 经济学院,江西 南昌 330013
  • 收稿日期:2020-01-08 修回日期:2020-03-18 出版日期:2020-05-15 发布日期:2020-12-11
  • 通讯作者: 杨飞虎,江西财经大学教授,经济学博士,主要从事宏观经济研究,联系方式yfh168@sina.com;
  • 作者简介:杨 洋,江西财经大学博士研究生,主要从事政治经济学研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目“新型城镇化建设中公共投资效率评估及效率提升机制研究”(71764010); 江西省高校人文社会科学研究项目“我国精准扶贫中公共投资作用机理与效率提升机制研究”(JJ18110); 江西省研究生创新专项资金项目“新时代中国特色社会主义宏观调控体系研究”

Retrospect and Prospect of the Macro-Control Policies in the 70 Years of New China

YANG Fei-hu, YANG Yang   

  1. Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China
  • Received:2020-01-08 Revised:2020-03-18 Online:2020-05-15 Published:2020-12-11

摘要: 新中国70年取得举世瞩目的经济发展佳绩,这得益于有效的宏观调控政策。根据新中国70年经济周期及五年计划(规划),总结回顾了新中国70年宏观调控政策的历史脉络、时代特征和实施效果。研究发现,宏观调控政策要基于国情和遵循经济运行客观规律,宏观调控政策体系要具有权威性和独立性;宏观调控政策应坚持财政政策灵活有度和货币政策稳健中性,重点是合理管控好投资和货币,难点是有效管控政府超前发展雄心和过度干预之手,目标是前瞻性地调控和引导国民经济健康平稳运行。最后,结合新时代宏观调控政策的优化和完善问题,进一步提出宏观调控政策导向要前瞻性地推进和完善供给侧结构性改革、宏观调控政策核心目标应定位为“可持续均衡发展”、宏观调控政策靶向应以全要素生产率和宏观投资回报率为着力点等建议。

关键词: 新中国70年, 宏观调控体系, 宏观调控政策, 可持续均衡发展

Abstract: Great remarkable economic growth achievements have been made during the 70 years of new China, which is due to its effective macro-control policies. Based on the retrospect of the economic cycle and the five-year plans during the 70 years of new China, this paper summarizes and reviews the historical context, characteristics in different times and the implementation effect of the macro-control policies in the 70 years of new China. The findings show that the macro-control policy should be based on the actual national conditions and should follow the objective laws of economic development, and that the system of macro-control policy should possess authority and independence. The macro-control policy should adhere to the flexible and measured fiscal policies and the stable yet neutral monetary policies; its focus is achieving reasonable management and control of the investment and the currency, the difficulty is effectively controlling the ambitious development in advance and the excessive intervention behavior of the government, and the target is the regulation and guidance of the healthy and smooth operation of the national economy in a prospective way. Finally, combined with the optimization and perfection of the macro-control policies in the New Era, this paper further puts forward some suggestions: such as the orientation of the macro-control policies should advance and improve the supply-side structural reform in a prospective way, the core aim of the macro-control policy should be positioned at“sustainable and balanced development”, the target of the macro-control policy should be focused on improving total factor productivity and the return on macro investment, and so on.

Key words: 70 years of new China, macro-control system, macro-control policies, sustainable and balanced development

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