当代财经 ›› 2014, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (09): 1728-.

• • 上一篇    

美国货币政策冲击的非对称影响分析——基于实体经济和虚拟经济二分法的视角

刘骏民1a,王兴1b   

  1. (1. 南开大学 a. 经济学院;b. 虚拟经济与管理研究中心,天津 300071)
  • 收稿日期:2012-04-30 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:刘骏民,南开大学教授,博士生导师,主要从事虚拟经济及宏观经济理论研究;王 兴,南开大学博士研究生,主要从事虚拟经济研究,联系方式wangxing87615@sina.com。

An Analysis of the Asymmetric Effects of American Monetary Policy Impact: From the Perspective of the Dichotomy between Real Economy and Virtual Economy

LIU Jun-min, WANG Xing   

  1. (Nankai University, Tianjin 300071, China)
  • Received:2012-04-30 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 虚拟经济的自我膨胀机制及创造GDP的特殊方式,决定了货币政策冲击对实体经济与虚拟经济的不对称影响。运用SVAR模型和脉冲响应函数对美国货币政策冲击的影响进行了实证检验,结果证实了这种不对称效应的存在。货币政策是决定美国虚拟经济兴衰的直接变量。因此,从长期看,美国要恢复实体经济,实现“再工业化”就不能仅仅通过货币政策来调整经济,必须考虑到货币政策对实体经济与虚拟经济的不对称影响,从结构性政策入手来调整美国经济。

关键词: 货币中性,二分法,虚拟经济

Abstract: The self-expansion mechanism of virtual economy and its special way of creating GDP have determined the asymmetric effect of monetary policy impact on the real economy and the virtual economy. This paper employs the SVAR model and the impulse response function to conduct an empirical test on the impact of American monetary policy, the result can confirm the existence of the asymmetry effect. The monetary policy is the direct variable determining the rise and fall of US virtual economy. Therefore, in the long run, instead of adjusting the economy only through monetary policy, the United States must take this asymmetry effect into account and adjust its economy through the structural policies, so as to restore the real economy and achieve the re-industrialization.

Key words: monetary neutrality; dichotomy; virtual economy