当代财经 ›› 2012, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (12): 1604-.

• • 上一篇    

我国劳动力转移的“刘易斯拐点”到来了么?——基于城乡差距变化视角

李宾   

  1. (中国人民大学 农业与农村发展学院,北京 100872)
  • 收稿日期:2013-01-02 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:李 宾,中国人民大学讲师,经济学博士,管理学博士后,主要从事农村发展、农村金融研究。

Has Lewis Turning Point in China’s Labor Transfer Arrived? From the Perspective of Changes of the Urban-Rural Gap

LI Bin   

  1. (Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China)
  • Received:2013-01-02 Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 通过构建指标体系,以1978年至2010年为样本期,采用主成份分析法对我国城乡差距水平进行了测度,并对城乡差距水平的变化趋势进行了分析。研究结果表明:2005年以来我国城乡差距水平的确在逐步缩小,但原因在于中央的惠农政策改善了农村经济条件,比较参照变量的走势后可知,没有证据表明“刘易斯拐点”已经到来。

关键词: 劳动力转移,城乡差距,刘易斯拐点

Abstract: By constructing the index system and taking 1978-2010 as the sample period, this paper employs the principal component analysis method to measure the level of China’s urban-rural gap and conducts an analysis of the trend of changes of the gap. The study results show that since 2005, the urban-rural gap has indeed been gradually narrowing, but the reason lies in the fact that the preferential agricultural policies of the central government have greatly improved the economic conditions in the rural areas. Compared with the trend of the reference variables, there is no evidence that the “Lewis turning point” has arrived.

Key words: labor transfer; gap between urban and rural areas; Lewis turning point