江西财经大学学报 ›› 2013, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (03): 594-.

• • 上一篇    

中国农村居民消费结构分析——基于隐性直接相加需求系统的研究

滕永乐   

  1. (南京大学 经济学院,江苏 南京 210093)
  • 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:滕永乐,南京大学博士生,主要从事经济增长研究;

An Analysis of the Consumption Structure of China’s Rural Residents: Based on the AIDADS Model

TENG Yong-le   

  1. (Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093)
  • Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 中国农村居民各类消费品的边际支出份额有很大的差异,食品和衣着这类基本生存需要的消费品的边际支出份额小于1,而其他六类消费品则都大于1。从支出弹性上看,中国农村居民的消费结构在不断改善,而且已经发生了根本性的变化。生存性消费比重逐步降低,发展性消费开始成为提高农民福利水平的主要手段。因此,应该在进一步努力提升农村居民收入的同时,扩大家电下乡、汽车下乡等补贴政策,促进农村居民消费结构升级。此外,交通通讯和文教娱乐用品及服务消费的支出弹性随收入分布呈倒U变化,这极大地改进了传统需求系统只能拟合线性变化的不足,丰富了对居民消费结构的认识。

关键词: 农村消费,需求系统,隐性直接相加需求系统,秩检验

Abstract: There are greater differences between the marginal expenditure shares of all kinds of consumer goods used by China’s rural residents. The marginal expenditure share of the consumer goods which meet their basic survival needs, such as food and clothing, is less than 1; while marginal expenditure shares of the other six categories of consumer goods is greater than 1. Judging from the expenditure elasticity, the consumption structure of China’s rural residents is being gradually improved and has fundamentally changed. The ratio of the survival consumption is decreasing and the development consumption has become the major means to raise the welfare of rural residents. Therefore, while further striving to increase the income of rural residents, the subsidy policies like home appliances and cars sold at favorable prices in the countryside should be expanded, so as to promote the upgrading of consumption structure of rural residents. Besides, the expenditure elasticity of such expenditures as transport, communications, education, culture and recreational services shows a change of inversed U type along with the income distribution, which can greatly improve the shortcomings of the traditional demand system that can only fit linear changes, and profoundly enrich the understandings of the consumption structure as well.

Key words: rural consumption; demand system; AIDADS; rank test