江西财经大学学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (06): 178-.

• • 上一篇    

制造业还是经济增长的发动机吗

王展祥   

  1. (江西财经大学 经济学院,江西 南昌 330013)
  • 发布日期:2021-01-21
  • 作者简介:王展祥,江西财经大学副研究员,经济学博士,主要从事发展经济学和宏观经济学研究,联系方式cfe08@126.com。

Is Manufacturing Industry still the Engine of Economic Growth?

WANG Zhan-xiang   

  1. (Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China)
  • Published:2021-01-21

摘要: 历史地看,制造业在经济发展中扮演着生产率与收入水平提高的增长发动机作用。20世纪中后期发达国家普遍呈现以制造业就业与产值份额度量的去工业化,在21世纪前后许多发展中国家也纷纷进行去工业化,与此同时发达国家则高举再工业化大旗。这一悖论现象源于当前发达国家与发展中国家之间的上下游产业链模式以及不对称、不公平的国际贸易秩序,这对发展中国家和发达国家具有长期或短期的不同正负面影响。需要全面认识当前发达国家和发展中国家制造业的增长发动机作用,警惕中国过早的去工业化;从供给端发力,促进中国制造业由低端向中高端转型升级,早日进入技术与创新驱动的高质量发展阶段。

关键词: 制造业,去工业化,再工业化,经济结构

Abstract: Historically, manufacturing industry has been playing an important role as an engine of growth to promote productivity and income level in the economic development. In the middle and late 20th century, the developed countries generally showed the trend of de-industrialization, which was measured by the employment and output share of the manufacturing industry. Many developing countries also carried out de-industrialization around the 21st century. At the same time, the developed countries turned to re-industrialization. This paradoxical phenomenon stems from the current upstream-downstream industrial chain patterns between the developed and the developing countries, as well as the asymmetric and unfair international trade order, which has a long-term or short-term positive or negative impact on both developing and developed countries. It is necessary to correctly understand the role of the growth engine of the manufacturing industry in the developed and developing countries, and to be vigilant against premature de-industrialization in China. Great efforts should be exerted from the supply end to promote the transformation and upgrading of China’s manufacturing industry from the low-end to the middle-high-end, so as to enter the stage of high-quality development driven by technology and innovation at an early date.

Key words: manufacturing industry; deindustrialization; reindustrialization; economic structure