当代财经 ›› 2025, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (10): 153-164.

• 现代会计 • 上一篇    

群体智慧还是个人智慧:互动平台提问领袖与股价崩盘风险

孙浩然1, 马连福1, 谢雁翔2,3   

  1. 1.南开大学 商学院,天津 300071;
    2.南开大学 金融学院,天津 300350;
    3.天津农商银行 博士后工作站,天津 300203
  • 收稿日期:2025-01-13 修回日期:2025-04-06 出版日期:2025-10-15 发布日期:2025-10-23
  • 通讯作者: 谢雁翔,南开大学金融学院和天津农商银行联合培养博士后,管理学博士,主要从事资本市场研究,联系方式xyxmask1995@163.com。
  • 作者简介:孙浩然,南开大学博士研究生,主要从事投资者关系管理研究;马连福,南开大学教授,管理学博士,主要从事投资者关系管理研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金面上项目“股东网络特征与投资决策权配置研究”(71772094); 国家自然科学基金面上项目“数字化时代背景下控制权配置与公司价值研究”(7217020212)

Group Wisdom or Individual Wisdom: Question Leaders on Interactive Platforms and the Risk of Stock Price Collapse

Sun Hao-ran1, Ma Lian-fu1, Xie Yan-xiang1,2   

  1. 1. Nankai University, Tianjin 300071;
    2. Postdoctoral Workstation of Tianjin Rural Commercial Bank, Tianjin 300203, China
  • Received:2025-01-13 Revised:2025-04-06 Online:2025-10-15 Published:2025-10-23

摘要: 社交媒体中高度活跃的用户的个体智慧对于打破“沉默的螺旋”有重要作用。利用2013—2023年沪深A股非金融业上市公司的数据,研究了互动平台提问领袖与企业股价崩盘风险的关系。结果发现,互动平台提问领袖显著降低了股价崩盘风险,打破了“沉默的螺旋”。机制分析发现,互动平台提问领袖的提问能降低信息不对称程度和强化外部监督,因而互动平台提问领袖能降低股价崩盘风险。互动平台提问领袖对公司关注集中度越高,越能降低股价崩盘风险;但互动平台提问领袖对上市公司关注广泛会提高股价崩盘风险。对上市公司的回复策略分析发现,上市公司提高回复文本的相似度、增加回复字数、缩短回复时间能降低股价崩盘风险,然而上市公司的回复过度偏向互动平台提问领袖会提高股价崩盘风险。互补效应分析发现,监管部门的监管与互动平台提问领袖的提问之间具有监管互补效应。为此,要充分发挥互动平台提问领袖积极作用,但同时也要规范互动平台提问领袖的行为。

关键词: 投资者互动平台, 互动平台提问领袖, 股价崩盘风险

Abstract: The individual wisdom of highly active users in social media plays a crucial role in breaking the“spiral of silence”. By making use of the data from non-financial listed companies on the Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share markets from 2013 to 2023, this study investigates the relationship between question leaders on interactive platforms and the risk of stock price collapse. The results indicate that question leaders on interactive platforms can significantly reduce the risk of stock price collapse, breaking the“spiral of silence”. The mechanism analysis reveals that questions posed by question leaders on interactive platforms can reduce information asymmetry and strengthen external supervision, thereby enabling question leaders to mitigate the risk of stock price collapse. The higher the concentration of attention from question leaders on a company, the greater the reduction in the risk of stock price collapse; however, the extensive attention from question leaders to listed companies would increase the risk of stock price collapse. An analysis of the response strategies of listed companies reveals that increasing the similarity of response texts, expanding the number of response words, and shortening the response time can reduce the risk of stock price collapse. Conversely, excessive bias towards question leaders in responses from listed companies would increase the risk of stock price collapse. The analysis of the complementary effect reveals a regulatory complementary effect between the supervision of regulatory authorities and the questions posed by question leaders on interactive platforms. Therefore, it is necessary to fully leverage the positive role of question leaders on interactive platforms, while also regulating their behaviors.

Key words: investor interaction platform, question leaders on interaction platforms, stock price crash risk

中图分类号: